Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	129 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (03 Dec 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	129 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	77 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

77 km/h

Up to 2 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	2,495
Tropical Storm	Iran, Pakistan, India	338,932	+
	Iran	9,788
	Pakistan	265,793
	India	63,351

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	129	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Majali, India. This height is estimated for 03 Dec 2017 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Majali	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Manki	India	0.2
	03 Dec 2017 19:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:45	Shirali	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:45	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Advota	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 19:15	Chaudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Mumbai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Mandve	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Uran	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Trombay	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:00	Taloje	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Marmagao	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Panaji	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Agacaim	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Madgaon	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Vengurla	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Terekhol	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Malvan	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Achra	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Pural	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 04:30	Vilinjam	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 04:30	Puvar	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 04:30	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 04:30	Kolachel	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Wadgam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Kambhat	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Kavi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 12:30	Sarod	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Devipatam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Pamban	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Purangad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Purnagad	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Adiura	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 23:00	Alibag	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 08:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 08:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 08:00	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 16:15	Bhagva	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 16:15	Olpad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:45	Mirya	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:15	Malad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:15	Dongri	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:45	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:45	Agashi	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 03:30	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 03:30	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 03:30	Quilon	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:30	Rameswaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 14:45	Tondi	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 07:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Boria	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 20:15	Guhagar	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:00	Mahim	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 18:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:15	Revadanda	India	0.1
	01 Dec 2017 01:15	Haripad	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 22:15	Palghar	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 21:15	Murud	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.