Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Dec 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 570 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan574,885
+
Iran168,257 
Pakistan406,628 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 79 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Mumbai India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Asumumbay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Mandve India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Uran India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Trombay India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Taloje India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Shirgaon India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Palghar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Mahim India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:30 Dongri India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Tarapur India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:30 Asarsa India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:30 Harinagar India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:30 Tankari India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:00 Malyan India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:45 Wadgam India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:45 Kambhat India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:45 Kavi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 09:45 Sarod India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 13:00 Malad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 08:15 Ghogha India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Gholvad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Alibag India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:45 Bordi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:45 Umbargam India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 14:45 Maroli India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:30 Dahej India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Damka India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:00 Bhagva India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 07:00 Olpad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Daman India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Udvada India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Kotada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:30 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Murud India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:45 Mahuva India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Srivardhan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Bankot India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Kelshi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 11:00 Anjanwel India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Guhagar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Boria India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Jaigarh India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Mirya India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 21:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 21:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 21:00 Kodinar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Purnagad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Purangad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Vijayadurg India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:45 Adiura India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 21:15 Somnath India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 20:30 Veraval India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Chorwad India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 05:30 Pural India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:00 Achra India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Gorser India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Terekhol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Malvan India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Anjuna India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Adodar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Honavar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Manki India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:00 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 19:15 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Udipi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 08:45 Miyani India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Lamba India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Mulki India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Pamban India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:00 Bhogat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:00 Madhi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:30 Tondi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 18:45 Rameswaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:00 Kumbla India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Madayipara India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Madayi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Cannanore India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Pirappaiyadimadu Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Beypore India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Bekal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Edakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Mahe India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:45 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:00 Pentakota India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:30 Periathullay India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 17:45 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Badagara India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 12:30 Kakinada India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Pahel Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 22:00 Laft Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Chervattur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Tanur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:00 Nileshwar India  0.1