Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for OCKHI-17 in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka from 29 Nov 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17

in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (05 Dec 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	79 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	77 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

77 km/h

Up to 11.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Iran, Pakistan, India	11,198,956	+
	Iran	166,353
	Pakistan	447,830
	India	10,584,773

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	141	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Dec 2017 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 12:00	78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Dec 2017 18:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	29 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Nov 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Nov 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	30 Nov 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	30 Nov 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Dec 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Dec 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Dec 2017 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Dec 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Mumbai	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Mandve	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Uran	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Trombay	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 14:15	Taloje	India	0.6
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Revadanda	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 12:00	Murud	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 16:15	Alibag	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Agashi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Dongri	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Bankot	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 11:00	Malad	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:00	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 10:45	Mahim	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 05:00	Boria	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 05:00	Guhagar	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Palghar	India	0.4
	05 Dec 2017 05:30	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:30	Mirya	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Boisar	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:15	Purnagad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:15	Purangad	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:00	Tarapur	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:45	Adiura	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 05:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 00:45	Pural	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Malyan	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 00:30	Devgarh	India	0.3
	05 Dec 2017 00:30	Achra	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 00:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 09:15	Gholvad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Vengurla	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 13:15	Wadgam	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 13:15	Kambhat	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 13:15	Kavi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 13:15	Sarod	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 01:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:30	Anjuna	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Marmagao	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 23:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 22:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:00	Bhagva	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:00	Olpad	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 19:30	Advota	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 19:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 19:30	Majali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 19:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:15	Asarsa	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:15	Harinagar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 11:15	Tankari	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Bordi	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Umbargam	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 09:45	Maroli	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:30	Ghogha	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Rohisa	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 13:30	Kodinar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:15	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:15	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 10:30	Dahej	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:30	Somnath	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Veraval	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 01:30	Mahuva	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 01:30	Kotada	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 01:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 14:00	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 07:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 06:45	Manki	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	05 Dec 2017 18:00	Shil	India	0.2
	04 Dec 2017 01:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 10:00	Daman	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 10:00	Udvada	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Gorser	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 18:00	Ratia	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 08:30	Damka	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 17:45	Adodar	India	0.1
	05 Dec 2017 18:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	04 Dec 2017 00:45	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 20:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 20:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 07:45	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 07:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Devipatam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	03 Dec 2017 13:45	Pamban	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 21:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 21:45	Madayipara	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 21:45	Madayi	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 21:45	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	02 Dec 2017 21:45	Chirakkal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.