Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 73 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (05 Dec 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 73 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 77 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 11.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India11,466,078
+
Iran9,928 
Pakistan255,968 
India11,200,182 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Dec 2017 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Dec 2017 18:00 73 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Nov 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 04 Dec 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Dec 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Mumbai India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Asumumbay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Mandve India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Uran India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Trombay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Taloje India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Shirgaon India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Palghar India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Mahim India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Agashi India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:00 Dongri India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 08:00 Wadgam India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 08:00 Kambhat India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 08:00 Kavi India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 08:00 Sarod India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Bhagva India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Olpad India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Dahej India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Ghogha India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Harinagar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 13:00 Malad India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Damka India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 12:45 Tarapur India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Asarsa India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Tankari India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 01:15 Udvada India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 01:30 Daman India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 01:30 Maroli India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 01:15 Umbargam India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 12:45 Malyan India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 01:00 Bordi India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 01:00 Gholvad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Kotada India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 15:00 Alibag India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Mahuva India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 11:45 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Murud India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Anjanwel India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Guhagar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Boria India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:00 Jaigarh India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Rohisa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Ratnagiri India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Delvada India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:45 Purangad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Adiura India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 04:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Somnath India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Veraval India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Chorwad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 05:15 Pural India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:15 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:00 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:45 Achra India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 02:30 Gorser India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:30 Malvan India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Vengurla India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 04:30 Terekhol India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 03:00 Ratia India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Belekeri India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 04:15 Aramda India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Marmagao India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Panaji India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Agacaim India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 10:30 Madgaon India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:45 Kumta India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:45 Honavar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 03:45 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Chaudi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Adodar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Mavalli India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Shirali India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 22:45 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Chittadi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Kundapura India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Porbandar India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:45 Sika India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 'Urf Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Mursays Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Hiql Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Maghilah Oman  0.2
07 Dec 2017 02:30 Jambura India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 01:45 Jodiya India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:15 Mundra India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:30 Navinal India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 03:45 Bhadia India  0.2
07 Dec 2017 02:45 Tuna India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 04:00 Okha India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Miyani India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 04:00 Mandvi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Udipi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Lamba India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 03:30 Gadechi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Kattumavadi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Manamelkudi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 21:00 Bhogat India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 20:45 Madhi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:30 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:45 Devipatam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:45 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:45 Tondi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 20:30 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 18:30 Mulki India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:30 Kakinada India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 04:15 Suthri India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Muttupettai India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Irumeni India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:15 Pamban India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:00 Pentakota India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:00 Govundlapalem India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Chipurupalle India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 17:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Venkatapuram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Pudimadaka India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:45 Ullapalem India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:45 Pakala India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Chittivalasa India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Vijayapati India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Periathullay India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:15 Konada India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:45 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:15 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Chakicherla India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 08:45 Tiruchendur India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:45 Rasalpur India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Pirappaiyadimadu Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2017 10:15 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:00 Koyyam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:00 Kumbla India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 03:00 Bekal India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:45 Therunattam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Madhavaram India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Chennai India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 12:30 Ennore India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Kodigeri India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Vedaranyam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 14:00 Srikurman India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 13:45 Peddapatnam India  0.1
07 Dec 2017 16:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.1