Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NESTOR-19 in United States from 17 Oct 2019 15:00 UTC to 19 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NESTOR-19

in United States

18 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESTOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (18 Oct 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	86 km/h	0.3 m	184 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	90 km/h	0.8 m	357 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	4,126

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2019 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Oct 2019 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Oct 2019 18:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	United States	64,235
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	10,859,515	+
	United States	7,087,449
	Mexico	3,772,066

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	18 Oct 2019 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Oct 2019 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Oct 2019 12:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Oct 2019 18:00	199	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Mina de Oro, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Oct 2019 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Oct 2019 22:15	Mina de Oro	Mexico	0.3
	18 Oct 2019 22:15	Cerrito	Mexico	0.3
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Chabihau	Mexico	0.3
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Pixoy	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Telchac Puerto	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Chisahcab	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	West Point	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Breton	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Rio Lagartos	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Chelem	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Progreso	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Guanimar	Cuba	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	El Cajio	Cuba	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Majana	Cuba	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 20:15	Johnson's Bayou	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 20:15	Constance Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 20:15	Peveto Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Flake	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Elmgrove	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Crystal Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Patton	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Bolivar Peninsula	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Caplen	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Gilchrist	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	High Island	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Galveston	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Port Bolivar	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Fort Travis	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Hitchcock	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Texas City Junction	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Bayou Vista	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Anderson Ways	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Virginia Point	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Playa Caimito	Cuba	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Playa de Tasajera	Cuba	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Caserio Pescadores	Cuba	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	El Cuyo	Mexico	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Sisal	Mexico	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Surfside	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Mims	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Surfside Beach	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Hoskins	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Port Morris	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Bay Harbor	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sea Isle	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Freeport	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Quintana	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Dungeness	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Stafford	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Greyfield	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Amelia City	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Fernandina Beach	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	American Beach	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Gulf Park	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Hoskins	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Bryan Beach	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Valasco Heights	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Dauphin Island	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Heron Bay	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Alabama Port	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Black Hammock	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Franklintown	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	High Point	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Saint Simons	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	The Meadows	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Chinquapin	United States	0.2
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Fort Gaines	United States	0.2
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Fort Morgan	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Gulf Highlands	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Cedar Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Gasque	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Oyster Bay	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Bon Secaur	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Oak	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Gulf Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Caswell	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Joesphine	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Perdido Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Gulf Beach Heights	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Killian	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Lillian	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Gulf Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Perdido Bay	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Paradise Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Chanticleer	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Haven Park	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Sherman Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Quinavista	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Pleasant Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Sand Cut	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Fort McRee	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Myrtle Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Fort Barrancas	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Warrington	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	West Pensacola	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Sanders Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Pensacola	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Matagorda	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Romar Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Miffin	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Orange Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Gulf Breeze	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Mayport	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	East Mayport	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	German Village	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sea Island	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Ramsey Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Cerny Heights	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Bellview	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Goulding	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Gaberonne	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Gulf Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Villa Sabine	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Lamar	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Yent Place	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Carrabelle	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Lanark Village	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Oak Harbor	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Atlantic Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Port O'Connor	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 21:45	Celestum	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Chipepte	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Eastpoint	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sapelo Island	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Yarborough	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Fulton	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Isle of Palms	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Jacksonville Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	El Martillo	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Oriole Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Tiger Point	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Estes	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 18:15	Port Mansfield	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Raccoon Bluff	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Holly Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Laguna Vista	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Laguna Heights	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Port Isabel	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Kopernik Shores	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	South Padre Island	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Boca Chica	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Palm Valley Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Palm Valley	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sawgrass	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Woodlawn Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Buena Vista	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Holley	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	McNeils	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Indian Pass	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Thirteen Mile	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Odena	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Eleven Mile	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Nine Mile	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:00	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Mickler Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Casa Cola	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	South Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Araquey	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Saint Augustine	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Villano Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Anastasia	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Saint Augustine Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Butler Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	East Bay	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Navarre	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Wynnehaven Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 21:00	Guerrero	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 21:00	Real de Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Hickory Bluff	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Forest Beach	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Hilton Head Island	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Long Cove Plantation	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Seabrook Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Bram Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Palmetto Dunes	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Hilton Head Plantation	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Gator Field	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Parris Island	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Folly Field	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Fort Fremont	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Scott	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Longwood	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 20:30	Aguas Claras	Cuba	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 20:30	Almacen	Cuba	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 20:30	Guasimal	Cuba	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Fort Screven	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Tybee Island	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon	Mexico	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Harris	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Elorosa	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Tropic	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Melbourne Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	South Patrick Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Satellite Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Indian Harbour Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Canova Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Indialantic	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Valkaria	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Grant	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Melbourne Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Evans Pines	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:00	Ballard Pines	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sun N Sand Beaches	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Daufuskie Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Cooper River Landing	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	South Beach Villas	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Greenwood Forest	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Calibogue Cay	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Sea Pines Plantation	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Summer Haven	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Palm Coast	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Marineland	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Bon Terra	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Beverly Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Flagler Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:45	Mound Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Redington Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	North Redington Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Redington Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Oakhurst Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Madeira Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Bay Pines	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Treasure Island	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Sarasota Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Siesta	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Siesta Key	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Sarasota	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	South Sarasota	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Point O'Rocks	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Ridge Wood Heights	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Southgate	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Gulf Gate Estates	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	South Gate Ridge	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Vamo	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Osprey	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Nokomis	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:15	Laurel	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Anna Maria	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Holmes Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Ilexhurst	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Longbeach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Cortez	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:30	Longboat Key	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Fort De Soto	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Tierra Verde	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 18:00	Los Ebanos	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 18:00	El Mezquital	Mexico	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	South Bradenton	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:30	Bayshore Gardens	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Highland View	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Port Saint Joe	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:15	Indian Shores	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:15	Indian Rocks Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:15	Belleair Beach	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Cummings	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 22:45	Orchid	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:00	Port Fourchon	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Milltown	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Oak Grove	United States	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 23:00	Ward Ridge	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Mary Esther	United States	0.1
	19 Oct 2019 00:00	Wright	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.