Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Jan 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.2 m 34 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 805 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia01 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

805 mm

Up to 270 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia1,042
+
Papua New Guinea942 
Australia100 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia273,258
+
Papua New Guinea202,652 
Indonesia25,783 
Australia44,823 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 13 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 333 1 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Coolbie Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:15 Cardwell Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 04:15 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:45 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:15 Innisfail Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:30 Karumba Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 18:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Cairns Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Kamma Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Deeral Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:30 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:30 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:30 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:30 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 14:30 Cluden Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 14:30 Oolbun Australia  0.2
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Matara Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Urum Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:45 Daub Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 14:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 14:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 14:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 16:30 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 14:30 Alva Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 08:45 Kowanyama Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 17:45 Heits Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 00:15 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:00 Boigu Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:00 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:30 Carmila Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 05:30 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Saibai Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
20 Jan 2021 19:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Weipa Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Weipa South Australia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 15:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 12:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 10:30 Mapoon Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Freshwater Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Stratford Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Woree Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 17:45 Dauan Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Conway Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Midgeton Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 02:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1