Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

17 Jan 2021 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Jan 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	83 km/h	0.2 m	23 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	122 km/h	0.2 m	805 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Australia	3,859
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	77,989	+
	Indonesia	16,122
	Papua New Guinea	22,135
	Australia	39,732
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	769,670	+
	Indonesia	227,139
	Papua New Guinea	146,252
	Australia	396,279

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	321	80 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Jan 2021 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Jan 2021 14:15	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 17:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:30	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 06:45	Lower Tully	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 06:45	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 05:00	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 05:00	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 03:45	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 03:45	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 05:15	Cardwell	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 23:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 07:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 08:00	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 07:15	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 00:30	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 00:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:45	Coolbie	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:45	Mutarnee	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 04:30	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 10:15	Kowanyama	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 07:45	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 08:45	Weipa	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 08:45	Weipa South	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 22:45	Welab	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 03:45	Moongobulla	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 03:45	Rollingstone	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 03:45	Kinduro	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 05:30	Lucinda	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 09:15	Mapoon	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 10:30	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 09:30	Kulinchin	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Dokib	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 21:30	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:30	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:30	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 22:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 03:00	Badu	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 16:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 05:30	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 05:30	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 05:30	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 05:30	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 19:15	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 19:15	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 19:15	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.