Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

17 Jan 2021 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (18 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.2 m	26 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	122 km/h	0.2 m	805 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	121

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jan 2021 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Papua New Guinea, Australia	4,283	+
	Papua New Guinea	1,488
	Australia	2,795
50-100 mm	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia	390,985	+
	Papua New Guinea	119,242
	Indonesia	29,680
	Australia	242,063

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	17 Jan 2021 00:00	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 06:00	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jan 2021 18:00	449	4 thousand			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Innisfail, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Innisfail	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Coolbie	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Mutarnee	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 23:00	Cardwell	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Moongobulla	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Kinduro	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Lower Tully	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:30	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Pallarenda	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Townsville	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:00	Oonoonba	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:30	Cairns	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:30	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:30	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 23:15	Alva	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 22:15	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 22:15	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:15	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:15	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:45	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:30	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 18:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 19:15	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.