Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	170 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.0 m (18 May 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	115 km/h	3.0 m	352 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 27.3 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	168,398
Tropical Storm	India	27,318,996

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	184	170 thousand		-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,559,148
100-250 mm	India	56,577,493
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India	44,476,245	+
	Pakistan	1,370
	India	44,474,874

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 12:00	460	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	869	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	589	58.1 million			-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.0m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 08:00	Wadgam	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 08:15	Kambhat	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 08:45	Kavi	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 08:45	Sarod	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 08:30	Tankari	India	2.8
	18 May 2021 02:00	Ghogha	India	2.6
	18 May 2021 02:30	Asarsa	India	2.5
	18 May 2021 02:15	Harinagar	India	2.5
	18 May 2021 02:00	Dahej	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Dharabandar	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Rohisa	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Jafarabad	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 21:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.5
	18 May 2021 02:00	Muler	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 22:30	Mahuva	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 22:30	Kotada	India	2.4
	18 May 2021 00:45	Hansot	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bhagva	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 20:45	Delvada	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 20:45	Nawabandar	India	2.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	2.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Olpad	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 23:45	Surat	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jalalpur	India	1.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahuver	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 21:45	Nausari	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 21:45	Navsari	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 21:30	Dharasana	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Valsad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Bilimora	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 22:00	Udvada	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 22:00	Daman	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 21:00	Dangarvadi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 20:30	Kotra Nes	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 22:30	Maroli	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 22:30	Umbargam	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 22:30	Bordi	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 20:15	Gholvad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 20:00	Malyan	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Sakhare	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kodinar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:15	Tarapur	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:15	Boisar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:30	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 20:30	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 20:30	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Agashi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Mumbai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Asumumbay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Uran	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Trombay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Diva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:00	Taloje	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:30	Malad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	15 May 2021 20:45	Karwar	India	0.8
	15 May 2021 20:45	Belekeri	India	0.8
	15 May 2021 20:45	Ankola	India	0.8
	15 May 2021 20:45	Gokarn	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:45	Vasai	India	0.7
	15 May 2021 20:30	Kumta	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:15	Dongri	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 16:15	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 14:15	Mandve	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 22:30	Sutrapada	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Madgaon	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 15:45	Navghar	India	0.7
	15 May 2021 20:15	Honavar	India	0.7
	15 May 2021 20:15	Manki	India	0.7
	15 May 2021 20:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Somnath	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:45	Veraval	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Chaudi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 08:15	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 08:15	Revadanda	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 20:00	Mavalli	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 20:00	Shirali	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 20:00	Bhatkal	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:30	Bankot	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:30	Kelshi	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 20:30	Majali	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 21:00	Bainduru	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 07:15	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 02:30	Srivardhan	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 21:15	Chittadi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 07:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:15	Guhagar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:15	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:45	Boria	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:15	Kundapura	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:00	Vengurla	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:00	Terekhol	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 03:00	Chopdem	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 03:00	Anjuna	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 01:30	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 23:15	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 23:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Chorwad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 21:15	Purnagad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 12:45	Devgarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 12:45	Achra	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:45	Udipi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:00	Adiura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 08:15	Malvan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:00	Pural	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:15	Mulki	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 23:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Shil	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:15	Mangaluru	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 02:45	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:45	Salaya	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:45	Jodiya	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:15	Okha	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:45	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 13:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:15	Ratia	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:45	New Kandla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:45	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:45	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:45	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:45	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 21:45	Cannanore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Quilandi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 18:30	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 13:30	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:15	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:15	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:15	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Tanur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:15	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 17:30	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 17:30	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 02:00	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:45	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 10:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 04:00	Sika	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 10:30	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 04:45	Adodar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 20:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.