Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (14 May 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	94 km/h	0.5 m	332 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 560 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, India, Maldives	561,655	+
	Afghanistan	4,016
	India	528,369
	Maldives	29,269

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
	2	14 May 2021 00:00	148	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	105,788
100-250 mm	India	39,509,752
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India, Maldives	18,672,592	+
	Pakistan	474
	India	18,668,576
	Maldives	3,542

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
	2	14 May 2021 00:00	846	39.6 million				-	-	-	Pakistan, India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 14 May 2021 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 May 2021 18:45	Kambhat	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 18:45	Kavi	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 18:45	Sarod	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:30	Bankot	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:30	Kelshi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 03:15	Vengurla	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 03:15	Terekhol	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Marmagao	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Panaji	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Agacaim	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Madgaon	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 18:45	Wadgam	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:30	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 18:45	Tankari	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 16:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.5
	15 May 2021 16:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:15	Guhagar	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 20:15	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:45	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:45	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 20:15	Boria	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:45	Mirya	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:15	Devgarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:15	Achra	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:30	Murud	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Karwar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Belekeri	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Ankola	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Gokarn	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 23:45	Revadanda	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 14:00	Purnagad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:30	Pural	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:30	Malvan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 03:30	Chopdem	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 03:30	Anjuna	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:00	Advota	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:00	Chaudi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:45	Purangad	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:30	Majali	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 22:30	Alibag	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 13:45	Adiura	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 17:00	Asarsa	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 14:15	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Kumta	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 17:00	Harinagar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:45	Shirali	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:45	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:45	Bainduru	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 03:45	Chittadi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 17:00	Dahej	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 17:00	Muler	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 00:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 22:15	Mandve	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:15	Honavar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:45	Manki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:45	Kundapura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:30	Malad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:30	Mumbai	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:30	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Ghogha	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Dongri	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 09:15	Mavalli	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Vasai	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 16:00	Hansot	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 22:30	Uran	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Agashi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:45	Udipi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:45	Mulki	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Trombay	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Palghar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Mahim	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Navghar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Boisar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Tarapur	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 14:15	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Mahuva	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 13:45	New Kandla	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 13:45	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Malyan	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Sakhare	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 13:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Kotada	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:15	Diva	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:15	Taloje	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 22:30	Mangaluru	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:30	Bhagva	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:30	Damka	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:30	Olpad	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 13:30	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 14:30	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 13:30	Jodiya	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 13:15	Tuna	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:30	Kumbla	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:15	Dharasana	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:15	Valsad	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:15	Bilimora	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:45	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 05:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 05:00	Melmandai	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 05:00	Vembar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Cannanore	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Daman	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 13:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:15	Udvada	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 11:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:30	Nausari	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Surat	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Mahuver	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:30	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:30	Sika	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 20:45	Navsari	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:45	Mundra	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 01:30	Akri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:15	Salaya	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 04:30	Kayalpatnam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 00:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 12:15	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:45	Beypore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 11:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:45	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:30	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:30	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 01:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.2
	14 May 2021 08:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.2
	14 May 2021 21:15	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 00:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:15	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Mandvi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 21:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 00:00	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:15	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 04:15	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 04:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 04:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Sikkal	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 00:45	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 00:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 00:00	Somnath	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Ponnani	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Manattala	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Chaughat	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:45	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:45	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 00:15	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Machan	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Irumeni	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 00:00	Veraval	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 20:45	Turavur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 04:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:15	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Pishukan	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Akara	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Gwadar	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:45	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:15	Okha	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:00	Vanak	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:30	Gadechi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:30	Pomparippu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:45	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:45	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Barambah	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Tis	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Chah Bahar	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:00	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Ahmadizeh	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:15	Durgarajupatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:15	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Kereti	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Cochin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:15	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:15	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Jiwani	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Bayahi	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Pasni	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.