Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.9 m (17 May 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	112 km/h	1.9 m	869 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 7.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	7,454,370

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
4	15 May 2021 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	54,253
100-250 mm	India	52,512,528
50-100 mm	Pakistan, India	50,825,440	+
	Pakistan	12,836
	India	50,812,603

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 12:00	460	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	1031	52.6 million			-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

1.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.9m in Kathiwadar Bandar, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 23:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 23:45	Mahuva	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kotada	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jafarabad	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dharabandar	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Rohisa	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Delvada	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nawabandar	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bhagva	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Olpad	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Ghogha	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Surat	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dahej	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jalalpur	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahuver	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Harinagar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Muler	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nausari	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Navsari	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Hansot	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Udvada	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dharasana	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Valsad	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 00:00	Daman	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Maroli	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Asarsa	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dangarvadi	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Umbargam	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bilimora	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kotra Nes	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Tankari	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bordi	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gholvad	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Malyan	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sakhare	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Tarapur	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Wadgam	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kambhat	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Boisar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kavi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sarod	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kodinar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Shirgaon	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Palghar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahim	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Agashi	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nalasopara	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Vasai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Dongri	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Marmagao	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Panaji	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Agacaim	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:30	Madgaon	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Malad	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Mumbai	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Asumumbay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Uran	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Trombay	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Diva	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 17:30	Taloje	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:15	Navghar	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 19:45	Karwar	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 19:45	Belekeri	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 19:45	Ankola	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 19:45	Gokarn	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:45	Lodhwa	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Kumta	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Honavar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Manki	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 17:30	Mandve	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Advota	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Chaudi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 05:30	Vengurla	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 05:30	Terekhol	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 04:30	Chopdem	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 04:30	Anjuna	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 01:45	Majali	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 19:45	Mavalli	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 19:45	Shirali	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 19:45	Bhatkal	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Bainduru	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 20:00	Chittadi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 12:00	Murud	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 12:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:15	Alibag	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:15	Revadanda	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 01:15	Bankot	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 01:15	Kelshi	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:30	Guhagar	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:30	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 08:00	Devgarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 08:00	Achra	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 04:30	Malvan	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 01:00	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:30	Boria	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:30	Pural	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 02:30	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:30	Kundapura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 00:45	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:30	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 19:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:45	Udipi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:30	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:15	Mulki	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 23:45	Purnagad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:00	Mangaluru	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 09:15	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 20:45	Purangad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Veraval	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:15	Kumbla	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:45	Kasaragod	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:45	Bekal	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 00:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 03:30	Nileshwar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 04:30	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:30	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:30	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:15	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:45	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:45	New Kandla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:45	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Quilandi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 00:45	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:30	Jodiya	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 23:15	Chorwad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 03:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:45	Thoothukkudi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:45	Melmandai	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 11:45	Vembar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:15	Okha	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 13:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Salaya	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 07:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 07:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 12:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:15	Mangrol	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:45	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 18:45	Akri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Mundra	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:30	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 00:45	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Sika	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 03:45	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:30	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 07:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:30	Sikkal	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:30	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:30	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:30	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:15	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Cochin	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 04:00	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 23:15	Shil	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Kereti	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 11:30	Irumeni	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:00	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:00	Guruvayur	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.