Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
14 May 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India, Maldives
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (15 May 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 94 km/h 0.7 m 460 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 122 km/h 3.1 m 1400 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 21.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia, Maldives21,450,262
+
India21,437,853 
Maldives12,408 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 May 2021 12:00 65 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, India, Maldives
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 12:00 122 -
- - - - - India, Maldives
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia1,770,785 
100-250 mmIndia50,707,091 
50-100 mmPakistan, India71,702,102
+
Pakistan4,531 
India71,697,570 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 May 2021 12:00 345 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 14 May 2021 00:00 332 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 12:00 687 52.5 million
- - - Pakistan, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Karwar, India. This height is estimated for 15 May 2021 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 May 2021 20:30 Karwar India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:30 Belekeri India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:30 Ankola India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:30 Gokarn India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Mumbai India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Asumumbay India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Uran India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Trombay India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Diva India  0.7
17 May 2021 04:45 Taloje India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:30 Kumta India  0.7
15 May 2021 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:45 Honavar India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:45 Manki India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:45 Majali India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:00 Shirali India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:00 Bhatkal India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:00 Bainduru India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:00 Chittadi India  0.6
15 May 2021 23:30 Advota India  0.6
15 May 2021 23:30 Chaudi India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:30 Mavalli India  0.6
17 May 2021 05:30 Malad India  0.6
17 May 2021 00:30 Alibag India  0.6
17 May 2021 00:30 Revadanda India  0.6
16 May 2021 00:30 Madgaon India  0.5
16 May 2021 00:30 Marmagao India  0.5
16 May 2021 00:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.5
16 May 2021 00:30 Panaji India  0.5
16 May 2021 00:30 Agacaim India  0.5
17 May 2021 02:45 Mandve India  0.5
15 May 2021 19:30 Kundapura India  0.5
17 May 2021 00:15 Murud India  0.5
17 May 2021 00:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
14 May 2021 18:45 Kambhat India  0.4
14 May 2021 18:45 Kavi India  0.4
14 May 2021 18:45 Sarod India  0.4
16 May 2021 01:00 Chopdem India  0.4
16 May 2021 01:00 Anjuna India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Agashi India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Dongri India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Vasai India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.4
17 May 2021 07:00 Navghar India  0.4
15 May 2021 04:45 Udipi India  0.4
15 May 2021 04:45 Mulki India  0.4
15 May 2021 03:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 03:15 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 03:30 Vengurla India  0.4
16 May 2021 03:30 Terekhol India  0.4
14 May 2021 18:30 Wadgam India  0.4
14 May 2021 18:30 Tankari India  0.4
15 May 2021 03:15 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 03:15 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 04:15 Mangaluru India  0.4
15 May 2021 02:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 04:45 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 04:45 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 04:45 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 04:45 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.4
14 May 2021 17:30 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.4
16 May 2021 16:45 Bankot India  0.4
16 May 2021 16:45 Kelshi India  0.4
14 May 2021 17:00 Asarsa India  0.4
15 May 2021 04:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.4
15 May 2021 04:15 Kumbla India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Harinagar India  0.3
16 May 2021 23:30 Srivardhan India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Dahej India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Muler India  0.3
16 May 2021 04:15 Malvan India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:15 Shirgaon India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:15 Palghar India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:15 Mahim India  0.3
17 May 2021 08:15 Boisar India  0.3
16 May 2021 15:30 Guhagar India  0.3
16 May 2021 15:30 Anjanwel India  0.3
17 May 2021 09:15 Tarapur India  0.3
17 May 2021 09:15 Malyan India  0.3
17 May 2021 09:15 Sakhare India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Ghogha India  0.3
17 May 2021 09:30 Gholvad India  0.3
17 May 2021 09:30 Bordi India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Daman India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Udvada India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:00 Hansot India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Umbargam India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Maroli India  0.3
15 May 2021 03:30 Kasaragod India  0.3
16 May 2021 04:15 Achra India  0.3
15 May 2021 03:30 Bekal India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Valsad India  0.3
17 May 2021 12:00 Dharasana India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
16 May 2021 07:00 Devgarh India  0.3
14 May 2021 13:30 New Kandla India  0.3
14 May 2021 13:30 Navlakhi India  0.3
16 May 2021 07:15 Vijayadurg India  0.3
16 May 2021 07:15 Pural India  0.3
14 May 2021 17:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
15 May 2021 03:30 Nileshwar India  0.3
16 May 2021 14:15 Boria India  0.3
16 May 2021 14:15 Jaigarh India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 18:00 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.2
16 May 2021 13:30 Mirya India  0.2
16 May 2021 13:30 Ratnagiri India  0.2
16 May 2021 07:30 Adiura India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayi India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Cannanore India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Edakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Madayipara India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Tuna India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Chervattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:45 Jodiya India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:30 Bhagva India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:30 Damka India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:30 Olpad India  0.2
16 May 2021 11:15 Purangad India  0.2
16 May 2021 11:15 Purnagad India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Mahe India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Badagara India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Payyoli India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:00 Jambura India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Talakkolattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 15:45 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Kozhikode India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:30 Sika India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Beypore India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Chaliyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Tirurangadi India  0.2
14 May 2021 20:45 Tanur India  0.2
17 May 2021 12:00 Jalalpur India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:45 Surat India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:45 Mahuver India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Mundra India  0.2
14 May 2021 14:30 Kotada India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:15 Salaya India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:00 Navinal India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
17 May 2021 12:00 Nausari India  0.2
14 May 2021 13:15 Bilimora India  0.2
14 May 2021 12:15 Bhadia India  0.2
14 May 2021 16:15 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 12:45 Navsari India  0.1
15 May 2021 01:00 Aramda India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:00 Atirampattinam India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Akri India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Ponnani India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
15 May 2021 07:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
15 May 2021 07:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 12:00 Mandvi India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Mattancheri India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Turavur India  0.1
14 May 2021 13:15 Kattumavadi India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Cochin India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Gurdim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Guraim Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Dorri Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Machan Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Konarak Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 19:15 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
14 May 2021 13:45 Mahuva India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
14 May 2021 14:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 20:30 Kadikkad India  0.1
15 May 2021 05:00 Chaughat India  0.1
15 May 2021 05:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
15 May 2021 07:30 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:15 Manattala India  0.1
14 May 2021 20:45 Alleppey India  0.1
15 May 2021 04:45 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 21:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Tis Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 17:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 17:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 08:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
15 May 2021 08:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
15 May 2021 19:45 Gadechi India  0.1
15 May 2021 19:45 Okha India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 12:15 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:00 Vanak Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 07:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 22:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
15 May 2021 16:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1