Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGKHUT-18
in China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2018-000152-CHN
Exposed countries China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar
Exposed population 60.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 287 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (14 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 250 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 287 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

250 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 07 Sep 2018 00:00 194 210 thousand 160 thousand Guam
Orange 2 07 Sep 2018 06:00 204 210 thousand 160 thousand Guam
Red 3 07 Sep 2018 12:00 185 210 thousand 160 thousand Guam
Red 4 07 Sep 2018 18:00 213 210 thousand 160 thousand Guam
Red 5 08 Sep 2018 00:00 213 210 thousand 160 thousand Guam
Orange 6 08 Sep 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand 170 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Red 7 08 Sep 2018 12:00 185 210 thousand 100 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Green 8 08 Sep 2018 18:00 250 210 thousand 10 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Red 9 09 Sep 2018 00:00 213 210 thousand 140 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Red 10 09 Sep 2018 06:00 185 3.5 million 40 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
Orange 11 09 Sep 2018 12:00 241 24.9 million 200 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
Orange 12 09 Sep 2018 18:00 250 26.1 million 820 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
Orange 13 10 Sep 2018 00:00 250 25.7 million 2.2 million Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
Orange 14 10 Sep 2018 06:00 250 27 million 750 thousand Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
Orange 15 10 Sep 2018 12:00 259 65.2 million 210 thousand Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
Red 16 10 Sep 2018 18:00 250 113 million 1.2 million Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
Red 17 11 Sep 2018 00:00 250 151 million 3.5 million Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 12.3, 168
GREEN
2 07 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.4, 166.7
GREEN
3 07 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, 165.5
GREEN
4 07 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13, 163.9
GREEN
5 08 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, 162.3
GREEN
6 08 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, 160.8
GREEN
7 08 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.8, 159.1
GREEN
8 08 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.9, 157
GREEN
9 09 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.1, 154.9
GREEN
10 09 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 15.3, 152.9
GREEN
11 09 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.1, 150.9
GREEN
12 09 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 49000 people 14.7, 149.1 Northern Mariana Islands
ORANGE
13 10 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 5400 people 210000 people 14.5, 147.4 Northern Mariana Islands
ORANGE
14 10 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 140000 people 210000 people 14.3, 145.7 Guam
GREEN
15 10 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 210000 people 14.1, 144.2 Northern Mariana Islands
GREEN
16 10 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 3 204 no people 170000 people 14, 142.6 Northern Mariana Islands
GREEN
17 11 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14, 141.2
GREEN
17 11 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 14, 138.6
GREEN
17 12 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 14.2, 136.3
GREEN
17 12 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 14.7, 133.9
GREEN
17 13 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 250 no people <1000 people 15.4, 131.6 Philippines
RED
17 14 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 250 1.4 million people 30.3 million people 17.3, 127 Philippines
ORANGE
17 15 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 231 3.1 million people 149.3 million people 19.5, 121.7 China
GREEN
17 16 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 21.9, 116.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Guam
Northern Mariana Is.
Philippines
China

Provinces

Region Province Country
Guam Guam
Northern Mariana Is. Northern Mariana Islands
Cagayan Valley Philippines
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
Ilocos Philippines
Guangdong China

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Hagåtña Guam Capital 1000 people
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people
Huilai Guangdong China City -
Jiazi Guangdong China City 130000 people
Jieshi Guangdong China City 140000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
A.B. Won Pat International GUM 91 0
Andersen AFB UAM 191 0
Rota I International ROP 185 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
West Tinian TIQ 82 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Dynasty 46 0
Basco BSO 56 Civ. Paved No 4100
Taggat 5 0
Pratas Island 3 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Apra Harbor Guam
Apra (Agana) GUAPR Guam
Rota Northern Mariana Islands
Tinian Northern Mariana Islands
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Basco Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Calayan Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines
Pratas Island China
Lufeng Terminal China
Huizhou Terminal CNHUI China

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in San Dionisio, Philippines. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2018 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (244 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 11 Sep 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Sep 2018 23:00 San Dionisio Philippines  1.0
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Bawa Philippines  0.6
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.6
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Casambalangan Philippines  0.6
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Rarasi Philippines  0.6
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Gonzaga Philippines  0.5
14 Sep 2018 21:00 San Vincente Philippines  0.5
10 Sep 2018 09:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.5
10 Sep 2018 09:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.5
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Banua Philippines  0.5
10 Sep 2018 08:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.5
10 Sep 2018 08:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.5
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Minabul Philippines  0.5
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Dadao Philippines  0.5
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Kaniwalan Philippines  0.4
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Buguey Philippines  0.4
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Poso Philippines  0.4
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Balza Philippines  0.4
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Sorongan Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Linao Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Bisagu Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Aparri Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Visita Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Nakanmuan Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Sabtang Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Chavayan Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Ivana Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Itbud Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Punta Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Banoa Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Cadagatan Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Mahatao Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Basco Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Bangui Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Tangatong Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 San Benigno Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Pasuquin Philippines  0.3
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Talatal Philippines  0.3
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Abulug Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Nagsidel Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Cabuluan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Catuguran Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Naguilian Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Alilinu Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Manila Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Fugu Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Bangan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Taccuen Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Budbudac Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 22:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 San Juan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Santiago Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Batitgao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Namuac Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Payac Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Magsingal Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Guisit Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Talinaan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Alacan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Raile Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Itbayat Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Santa Lucia Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Upi Guam  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Bateng Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Patro Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Lobit Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Cabugao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Binacud Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Badoc Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Battog Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Calayab Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Nang-guyudan Philippines  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 10:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Kilkiling Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Claveria Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Aggao Philippines  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Piti Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Asan Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Yona Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Bugallon Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Balanga Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Pilar Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Orion Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Limay Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Samal Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Portugal Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Buraan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Orani Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Calay-ab Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Carael Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 19:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Imus Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Bojeador C Philippines  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Agat Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Baloboc Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Paoay Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 21:00 General Trias Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Gongqiancun China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Huqiu China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Wutian China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Hsia-mei China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Chencheng China  0.1
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Umatac Guam  0.1
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Merizo Guam  0.1
10 Sep 2018 11:00 Inarajan Guam  0.1
14 Sep 2018 08:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Aringay Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 23:00 Agoo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Bauang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Baccuit Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Palintocang Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Caba Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 21:00 San Cornelio Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Lingayen Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Labangan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 18:00 Damaloguen Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 14:00 Divilican Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 San Fernando Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 10:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 10:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 10:00 Malbug Philippines  0.1
13 Sep 2018 21:00 San Andres Philippines  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
10 Sep 2018 06:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
14 Sep 2018 05:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 05:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 05:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Tondol Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Capantolan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 20:00 Mangas Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 17:00 Lapusan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 21:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Fuarte Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Vigan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Basiing Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Matanobong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Narvacan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Tangaoan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Santa Maria Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Hung-t'on Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Guleitou China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Gangkou China  0.1
14 Sep 2018 01:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 00:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.1
13 Sep 2018 22:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Balaton Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 10:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
13 Sep 2018 22:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 06:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 03:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 08:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Abucay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Candon Pt Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Candon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Santa Cruz Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Tagudin Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Dili Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Bitalag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Cabaritan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Pinipin Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Yeh-yu Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 I-la-la-la-k'ou Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 She-liao Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Che-cheng Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Maobitou Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Ta-kuang Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Heng-chjun Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Kenting Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Kuo-ch'i Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 O-luan-pi Taiwan  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Chendai China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Hsi-pu China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Liu'ao China  0.1
14 Sep 2018 01:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 02:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
14 Sep 2018 12:00 Borongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Shentu China  0.1
15 Sep 2018 00:00 Agdeppa Philippines  0.1