Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIA-18
in China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIA-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Glide number: TC-2018-000110-CHN
Exposed countries China, Japan
Exposed population 25.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (11 Jul 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 194 km/h n.a. n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 250 km/h 2.1 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 27.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 176 160 thousand No people Guam
Green 2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 194 160 thousand No people Guam
Green 3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 176 200 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 6 04 Jul 2018 00:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 7 04 Jul 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 8 04 Jul 2018 12:00 185 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 9 04 Jul 2018 18:00 250 210 thousand 2 thousand Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 10 05 Jul 2018 00:00 250 1.6 million 2 thousand Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan
Orange 11 05 Jul 2018 06:00 213 1.7 million 1.3 million Japan
Orange 12 05 Jul 2018 12:00 204 1.7 million 1.3 million Japan
Orange 13 05 Jul 2018 18:00 213 1.7 million 1.3 million Japan
Orange 14 06 Jul 2018 00:00 213 19.5 million 1.3 million Japan
Red 15 06 Jul 2018 06:00 231 91.8 million 1.5 million Japan, China
Red 16 06 Jul 2018 12:00 231 138.8 million 19.5 million Japan, China
Orange 17 06 Jul 2018 18:00 176 104.3 million 23.7 million Japan, China
Orange 18 07 Jul 2018 00:00 176 118.2 million 18.9 million Japan, China
Orange 19 07 Jul 2018 06:00 213 115.2 million 18.8 million Japan, China
Red 20 07 Jul 2018 12:00 204 131.3 million 31.7 million Japan, China
Red 21 07 Jul 2018 18:00 222 190.8 million 47.4 million Japan, China
Red 22 08 Jul 2018 00:00 213 174.4 million 30.8 million Japan, China
Red 23 08 Jul 2018 06:00 213 283 million 39.4 million Japan, China
Red 24 08 Jul 2018 12:00 204 223.7 million 12.3 million Japan, China
Red 25 08 Jul 2018 18:00 213 144.8 million 19.2 million Japan, China
Red 26 09 Jul 2018 00:00 213 146.7 million 17.9 million Japan, China
Red 27 09 Jul 2018 06:00 213 229.5 million 44.8 million Japan, China
Red 28 09 Jul 2018 12:00 204 203.3 million 28.6 million Japan, China
Red 29 09 Jul 2018 18:00 194 126.8 million 16.1 million Japan, China
Red 30 10 Jul 2018 00:00 194 156.2 million 27.8 million Japan, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 02 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.9, 146
GREEN
2 03 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.4, 145.8
GREEN
3 03 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.1, 148.5
GREEN
4 03 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.8, 147.3
GREEN
5 03 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.4, 146.5
GREEN
6 04 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.7, 146.3
GREEN
7 04 Jul 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 210000 people no people 12.4, 146.1 Northern Mariana Islands
GREEN
8 04 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 160000 people no people 12.6, 145.2 Guam
GREEN
9 04 Jul 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 210000 people <1000 people 13.6, 144.9 Guam
GREEN
10 05 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 210000 people no people 14.1, 144.1 Northern Mariana Islands
GREEN
11 05 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 160000 people no people 14.6, 143.4 Guam
GREEN
12 05 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.8, 142.7
GREEN
13 05 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 15.5, 142.3
GREEN
14 06 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 16, 142
GREEN
15 06 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 16.5, 141.6
GREEN
16 06 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 16.8, 141.3
GREEN
17 06 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 16.9, 140.9
GREEN
18 07 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17.1, 140.8
GREEN
19 07 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17.5, 140.6
GREEN
20 07 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17.9, 140.3
GREEN
21 07 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 18.4, 139.7
GREEN
22 08 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 19.1, 138.8
GREEN
23 08 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 19.8, 137.8
GREEN
24 08 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 20.5, 136.5
GREEN
25 08 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 21.1, 135.1
GREEN
26 09 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 4 250 2000 people no people 21.8, 133.5
GREEN
27 09 Jul 2018 06:00 Category 4 241 1.3 million people no people 22.4, 131.8 Japan
GREEN
28 09 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 4 231 1.3 million people no people 22.9, 130.3 Japan
GREEN
29 09 Jul 2018 18:00 Category 4 213 1.4 million people 55000 people 23.5, 128.7 Japan
GREEN
30 10 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 3 204 15.5 million people 100000 people 24, 127.2 Japan
RED
30 10 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 3 194 62.3 million people 5 million people 25.2, 124 China
ORANGE
30 11 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 96.4 million people 10.8 million people 26.3, 120.6 China
ORANGE
30 11 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 63.9 million people 13.5 million people 27.6, 117.3 China
GREEN
30 12 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 54.3 million people no people 29.6, 114.8 China
GREEN
30 13 Jul 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 33.3, 113 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Japan
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people
Taiwan China 22.4 million people
Zhejiang China 45.9 million people
Fujian China 33.2 million people
Jiangxi China 41.7 million people
Hubei China 59.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 44000 people
Chi-lung Chi-lung Shih Taiwan City 390000 people
Taipei T'ai-pei Chuan-Shih Taiwan Capital 2.5 million people
San-chih T'ai-pei Taiwan City -
Tan-shui T'ai-pei Chuan-Shih Taiwan City -
Wuhang Fujian China City -
Songcheng Fujian China City -
Langqi Fujian China City -
Mabi Fujian China City -
Luozhou Fujian China City -
Fengcheng Fujian China City -
Fengshan Fujian China City -
Jiaocheng Fujian China City 64000 people
Fuzhou Fujian China Major city 1.1 million people
Hanyang Fujian China City 70000 people
Muyang Fujian China City -
Shangjie Fujian China City 7200 people
Rongan Fujian China City -
Aoyang Fujian China City -
Meicheng Fujian China City -
Xincheng Fujian China City -
Songyuan Zhejiang China City -
Zhanghuban Fujian China City -
Xiongshan Fujian China City -
Youxikou Fujian China City -
Dongyou Fujian China City -
Songyuan Fujian China City -
Xiaoqiao Fujian China City -
Zhicheng Fujian China City 59000 people
Nanping Fujian China City 160000 people
Anfengqiao Fujian China City -
Xiqin Fujian China City -
Shuiji Fujian China City -
Xiayang Fujian China City -
Tancheng Fujian China City -
Shuangxi Fujian China City -
Chongcheng Fujian China City -
Shaowu Fujian China City 110000 people
Hangchuan Fujian China City -
Luyang Jiangxi China City -
Rifeng Jiangxi China City -
Longan Jiangxi China City -
Xiongshi Jiangxi China City 73000 people
Shangqing Jiangxi China City -
Yingtan Jiangxi China City -
Shangtang Jiangxi China City -
Huangshi Jiangxi China City -
Xiugu Jiangxi China City -
Jianchang Jiangxi China City -
Jinjiang Jiangxi China City -
Dengjiabu Jiangxi China City -
Huangjinbu Jiangxi China City -
Xiaogang Jiangxi China City -
Longgudu Jiangxi China City -
Yugan Jiangxi China City -
Linchuan Jiangxi China City 120000 people
Minhe Jiangxi China City -
Jianguang Jiangxi China City -
Nanchang Jiangxi China Major city 1.3 million people
Changleng Jiangxi China City -
Songhu Jiangxi China City -
Tujiabu Jiangxi China City -
Aicheng Jiangxi China City -
Longjin Jiangxi China City -
Puting Jiangxi China City -
Fengchuan Jiangxi China City -
Shuangxi Jiangxi China City -
Mugang Hubei China City -
Paishi Hubei China City -
Yanxia Hubei China City -
Hengshi Hubei China City -
Tongyang Hubei China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hirara MMY 45 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Shimojishima SHI 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
9 0
Ishigaki ISG 26 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Iriomote Jima 12 0
Yonaguni OGN 21 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Sungshan TSA 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
Ma Tsu 13 Civ. Paved No 2900
Matsu South 30 0
Changle FOC 14 Civ. Paved Yes 11800
19 0
210 0
Nanchang / Xiangtang 30 0
Nanchang New 30 0
Changbei KHN 40 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Myako Island Japan
Hirara Japan
Ishigaki Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan
Irionote Island Japan
Keelung (Chilung) TWKEL Taiwan
Tan Shui Taiwan
Matsu Island Taiwan
Ning Te China
Lo Hsing Ta Mao Ti China
San Tu Ao China
Fuzhou CNFOC China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sokobaru Sokobaru Sokobarugawa 1992
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996
Shanzi Ao Jiang 1996
Shuikou Min Jiang 1995
Gutian Gutianxi 1959
Shaxikou Min Jiang 1990
Dongxi Dongxi 1986
Fangtuan 1970
Liaoyuan 1963
Shuiduili -99
Baimiao Trib. Xin He 1960
Hongmen Litan Shui 1969
Gaofang Trib. Xin He 1969
Majie -99
Wuhu 1958
Yingshiling 1956
Honghu 1966
Jinbei Trib. Lean He 1958
Mayuan 1958
Huangzhuang -99
Qianjin 1960
Yuejin -99
Dashan -99
Hengshan 1984
Muxi 1960
Xingfu 1958
Shangyou 1957
Yangtang Yuan Shui 1983
Zhongling -99
Shilu -99
Zhelin Xiu Shui 1972
Shuilanguang Shisan He 1972
Luowan Beiliao He 1981
Fushui Fushui He 1966
Wangying Trib. Fu Shui 1972
Nanchuan Jin Shui 1976

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

2.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.5m in Songcheng, China. This height is estimated for 11 Jul 2018 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (432 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 34 of 11 Jul 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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