Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LESLIE-18
in Portugal
12 Oct 2018 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LESLIE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Portugal
Exposed population 400 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 139 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 148 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

139 km/h Current

Up to 4.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Sep 2018 15:00 74 No people No people
Green 2 23 Sep 2018 21:00 83 No people No people
Green 3 24 Sep 2018 03:00 74 No people No people
Green 4 24 Sep 2018 09:00 83 No people No people
Green 5 24 Sep 2018 15:00 93 No people No people
Green 6 24 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 7 25 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 25 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 25 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 10 28 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 11 29 Sep 2018 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 12 29 Sep 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
Green 13 29 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 14 29 Sep 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 15 30 Sep 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 16 30 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 17 30 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 18 30 Sep 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 19 01 Oct 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 20 01 Oct 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
Green 21 01 Oct 2018 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 22 01 Oct 2018 21:00 130 No people No people
Green 23 02 Oct 2018 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 24 02 Oct 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
Green 25 02 Oct 2018 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 26 02 Oct 2018 21:00 139 No people No people
Green 27 03 Oct 2018 03:00 139 No people No people
Green 28 03 Oct 2018 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 29 03 Oct 2018 15:00 139 No people No people
Green 30 03 Oct 2018 21:00 139 No people No people
Green 31 04 Oct 2018 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 32 04 Oct 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
Green 33 04 Oct 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 34 04 Oct 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 35 05 Oct 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 36 05 Oct 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 37 05 Oct 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 38 05 Oct 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 39 06 Oct 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 40 06 Oct 2018 09:00 93 No people No people
Green 41 06 Oct 2018 15:00 93 No people No people
Green 42 06 Oct 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 43 07 Oct 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 44 07 Oct 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 45 07 Oct 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 46 07 Oct 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 47 08 Oct 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 48 08 Oct 2018 09:00 130 Few people No people Portugal
Green 49 08 Oct 2018 15:00 130 150 thousand No people Portugal
Green 50 08 Oct 2018 21:00 139 6 thousand No people Portugal
Green 51 09 Oct 2018 03:00 139 10 thousand No people Portugal
Green 52 09 Oct 2018 09:00 139 270 thousand No people Portugal
Green 53 09 Oct 2018 15:00 139 270 thousand No people Portugal
Green 54 09 Oct 2018 21:00 139 No people No people
Green 55 10 Oct 2018 03:00 148 No people No people
Green 56 10 Oct 2018 09:00 148 No people No people
Green 57 10 Oct 2018 15:00 148 No people No people
Green 58 10 Oct 2018 21:00 139 No people No people
Green 59 11 Oct 2018 03:00 139 7 thousand No people Portugal
Green 60 11 Oct 2018 09:00 139 360 thousand No people Spain, Portugal
Green 61 11 Oct 2018 15:00 139 360 thousand No people Spain, Portugal
Green 62 11 Oct 2018 21:00 139 360 thousand 6 thousand Portugal
Green 63 12 Oct 2018 03:00 148 360 thousand No people Spain, Portugal
Green 64 12 Oct 2018 09:00 148 270 thousand No people Portugal
Green 65 12 Oct 2018 15:00 139 7.6 million No people Portugal, Spain, Morocco, Gibraltar
Green 66 12 Oct 2018 21:00 139 33.1 million 4.1 million Portugal, Spain

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33, -46.5
GREEN
2 23 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.5, -47.2
GREEN
3 24 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.3, -48.5
GREEN
4 24 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 32.6, -48.6
GREEN
5 24 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 32.5, -48
GREEN
6 24 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33, -47.2
GREEN
7 25 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 33.1, -47.1
GREEN
8 25 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.9, -46.2
GREEN
9 25 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.6, -44.4
GREEN
10 28 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 36.1, -48.1
GREEN
11 29 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.7, -49.4
GREEN
12 29 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.2, -50.3
GREEN
13 29 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 34.4, -50.8
GREEN
14 29 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 34.1, -51.3
GREEN
15 30 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.9, -52
GREEN
16 30 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.8, -52.5
GREEN
17 30 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.6, -52.6
GREEN
18 30 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.5, -53.2
GREEN
19 01 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 33.3, -53.7
GREEN
20 01 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 33.4, -53.9
GREEN
21 01 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 33.2, -54.3
GREEN
22 01 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 32.8, -54.6
GREEN
23 02 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 32.4, -55
GREEN
24 02 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 31.6, -55.6
GREEN
25 02 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.9, -56.1
GREEN
26 02 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30.1, -56.4
GREEN
27 03 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 29.7, -56.7
GREEN
28 03 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 29.6, -56.9
GREEN
29 03 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 29.5, -56.8
GREEN
30 03 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 29.9, -56.9
GREEN
31 04 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 30.6, -57
GREEN
32 04 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 31.4, -57.1
GREEN
33 04 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 32.5, -57.2
GREEN
34 04 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 33.3, -57.5
GREEN
35 05 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 34.9, -57.6
GREEN
36 05 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 35.9, -58.3
GREEN
37 05 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 36.2, -58.4
GREEN
38 05 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 36.2, -58.1
GREEN
39 06 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 36.6, -57.2
GREEN
40 06 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 37.2, -56.4
GREEN
41 06 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 37.7, -55.8
GREEN
42 06 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 37.4, -54.5
GREEN
43 07 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 37.3, -52.9
GREEN
44 07 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 37.2, -52
GREEN
45 07 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 36.6, -51.4
GREEN
46 07 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 35.9, -49.9
GREEN
47 08 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 35.7, -49.1
GREEN
48 08 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 35.2, -47.9
GREEN
49 08 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 34.6, -47
GREEN
50 08 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 33.8, -45.8
GREEN
51 09 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 32.9, -44.6
GREEN
52 09 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 32.2, -43.9
GREEN
53 09 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 31.3, -43.5
GREEN
54 09 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30.3, -43
GREEN
55 10 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 29.5, -42.6
GREEN
56 10 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 28.6, -42.6
GREEN
57 10 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 27.8, -42.3
GREEN
58 10 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 27.8, -41.9
GREEN
59 11 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 27.9, -41.1
GREEN
60 11 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 28.4, -40.1
GREEN
61 11 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 29.1, -38.3
GREEN
62 11 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 29.9, -36.5
GREEN
63 12 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 30.9, -33.9
GREEN
64 12 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 31.9, -31
GREEN
65 12 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 33, -28
GREEN
66 12 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 5700 people no people 33.9, -24.1 Portugal
GREEN
66 13 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 3.2 million people no people 35.6, -18.8 Portugal
GREEN
66 13 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 25.8 million people 4.1 million people 38, -12 Portugal
GREEN
66 14 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 31.7 million people no people 40.6, -6.5 Portugal
GREEN
66 14 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 43, -2 Spain
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Portugal
Spain

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Lisboa Portugal 2 million people
Setubal Portugal 630000 people
Leiria Portugal 420000 people
Santarem Portugal 440000 people
Coimbra Portugal 420000 people
Portalegre Portugal 130000 people
Castelo Branco Portugal 210000 people
Viseu Portugal 400000 people
Extremadura Spain 1.1 million people
Guarda Portugal 180000 people
Castilla y Leon Spain 2.6 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Cascais Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City 35000 people 1420 km
Cacém Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City - 1432 km
Queluz Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City 100000 people 1435 km
Amadora Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal Major city 170000 people 1438 km
Almada Setúbal Portugal City 33000 people 1442 km
Lisboa Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal Capital 510000 people 1443 km
Torres Vedras Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City 24000 people 1447 km
Peniche Leiria Portugal City 15000 people 1447 km
Sacavém Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City 17000 people 1449 km
Alverca do Ribatejo Lisboa (Lisbon) Portugal City 30000 people 1458 km
Caldas da Rainha Leiria Portugal City 26000 people 1469 km
Marinha Grande Leiria Portugal City 28000 people 1498 km
Santarém Santarém Portugal City 27000 people 1499 km
Leiria Leiria Portugal City 44000 people 1508 km
Vila Nova de Ourém Santarém Portugal City - 1523 km
Entroncamento Santarém Portugal City 19000 people 1525 km
Pombal Leiria Portugal City 17000 people 1529 km
Tomar Santarém Portugal City 19000 people 1534 km
Coimbra Coimbra Portugal Major city 100000 people 1558 km
Castelo Branco Castelo Branco Portugal City 33000 people 1617 km
Covilhã Castelo Branco Portugal City 17000 people 1633 km
Guarda Guarda Portugal City 28000 people 1662 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Cascais 90 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 1426 km
Sintra 134 Mil. Paved Yes 5900 1431 km
Lisboa LIS 114 Civ. Paved Yes 12400 1446 km
Alverca 3 Mil. Paved No 8200 1459 km
Ota 43 0 1471 km
Monte Real 57 Mil. Paved Yes 8000 1506 km
Tancos 81 Mil. Paved Yes 7500 1534 km
Santa Margarida 165 0 1537 km
Coimbra CBP 179 Civ. Paved No 3000 1551 km
Covilha COV 482 Civ. Paved No 3100 1635 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Cape Roca Portugal 1416 km
Cascais PTCAS Portugal 1421 km
Lisbon PTLIS Portugal 1440 km
Cape Carveiro Portugal 1445 km
Nazare Portugal 1481 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Castelo do Bode Zezere 1951 1540 km
Bouqa Zezere 1955 1559 km
Cabril Zezere 1954 1569 km
Raiva Mondego 1981 1575 km
Fronhas Alva 1984 1579 km
Aguieira Mondego 1981 1581 km
Fratel Tejo 1973 1582 km
Pracana Ocreza 1951 1582 km
Santa Luzia Unhais 1942 1597 km
Cedillo Tajo 1975 1608 km
Idanha Ponsul 1949 1645 km
Meimoa Meimoa 1985 1661 km
Sabugal Coa 2000 1668 km
Rivera de Gata Main Dam Gata 1990 1698 km
Borbollon Arrago 1954 1702 km
Iruena Agueda -99 1713 km
Agueda Agueda 1931 1724 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 01 Oct 2018 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)