Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LUBAN-18 in Yemen from 08 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC to 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18

in Yemen

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Yemen
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (14 Oct 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	139 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 72000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	08 Oct 2018 00:00	120	350 thousand	No people	Oman, Yemen
2	08 Oct 2018 06:00	130	90 thousand	20 thousand	Yemen
3	08 Oct 2018 12:00	139	150 thousand	No people	Yemen
4	08 Oct 2018 18:00	120	120 thousand	No people	Yemen
5	09 Oct 2018 00:00	130	620 thousand	No people	Yemen, Somalia
6	09 Oct 2018 06:00	130	1.3 million	No people	Yemen
7	09 Oct 2018 12:00	120	1.5 million	No people	Yemen
8	09 Oct 2018 18:00	139	720 thousand	210 thousand	Yemen
9	10 Oct 2018 00:00	139	1.5 million	310 thousand	Yemen
10	10 Oct 2018 06:00	139	1.5 million	40 thousand	Yemen
11	10 Oct 2018 12:00	139	950 thousand	40 thousand	Yemen
12	10 Oct 2018 18:00	139	1.1 million	70 thousand	Yemen

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	08 Oct 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.4, 62.3
2	08 Oct 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.3, 61.6
3	08 Oct 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.2, 61.6
4	08 Oct 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.5, 61.2
5	09 Oct 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.9, 60.6
6	09 Oct 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	13.2, 60.1
7	09 Oct 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	13.4, 59.7
8	09 Oct 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.1, 59.9
9	10 Oct 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	14.1, 59.1
10	10 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.2, 58.9
11	10 Oct 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.4, 58.5
12	10 Oct 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.5, 58.5
12	11 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.7, 58
12	11 Oct 2018 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	14.7, 57.5
12	12 Oct 2018 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	14.8, 56.9
12	12 Oct 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	100000 people	14.9, 55.7	Yemen
12	13 Oct 2018 18:00	Category 1	120	74000 people	620000 people	15, 52.9	Yemen
12	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	960000 people	15.3, 49.8	Yemen
12	15 Oct 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	16.2, 48.5	Yemen

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Yemen

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Al Mahrah	Yemen
Hadhramaut	Yemen

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Sayhut		Yemen

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Al Qumrah, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (37 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 10 Oct 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Oct 2018 07:00	Al Qumrah	Yemen	0.4
	14 Oct 2018 04:00	Qishn	Yemen	0.4
	14 Oct 2018 06:00	Itab	Yemen	0.4
	14 Oct 2018 08:00	Sharkhat	Yemen	0.3
	14 Oct 2018 10:00	Tamnum	Yemen	0.2
	13 Oct 2018 23:00	Tabut	Yemen	0.2
	13 Oct 2018 23:00	Hayrut	Yemen	0.2
	14 Oct 2018 02:00	Saqr	Yemen	0.2
	13 Oct 2018 23:00	Nishtun	Yemen	0.2
	14 Oct 2018 02:00	Haswayn	Yemen	0.2
	14 Oct 2018 13:00	Raida	Yemen	0.2
	14 Oct 2018 13:00	Hasana	Yemen	0.2
	14 Oct 2018 12:00	Musaina'a	Yemen	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 13:00	Sarar	Yemen	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Asarsa	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Tankari	India	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 14:00	Qusayir	Yemen	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Sarod	India	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 05:00	Al Faydami	Yemen	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Muler	India	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 05:00	Jarub	Yemen	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 16:00	Wadgam	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 15:00	Harinagar	India	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 02:00	Abd Allah Gharib	Yemen	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Alela	Eritrea	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Aseb	Eritrea	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Aylu	Eritrea	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Rehayto	Eritrea	0.1
	11 Oct 2018 10:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	11 Oct 2018 10:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	11 Oct 2018 10:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 14:00	Ghogha	India	0.1
	08 Oct 2018 14:00	Dahej	India	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 15:00	Dhafghan	Yemen	0.1
	14 Oct 2018 18:00	Beraisole	Eritrea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.