Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LEKIMA-19
in , China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries , China, Japan
Exposed population 7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 3.3 m (10 Aug 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 185 km/h 3.3 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 3.3 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

185 km/h Current

Up to 34.3 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 130 12.5 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 148 24.1 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 167 34.7 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 176 99.1 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 167 98.6 million 50 thousand Japan
Orange 6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 120 220.9 million 10.7 million China
Green 7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 102 229.4 million No people Japan, China
Orange 8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 120 307.3 million 4.5 million China
Orange 9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 239.8 million 9.7 million China
Orange 10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 206.5 million 10.8 million China
Orange 11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 167 254.5 million 18.4 million China
Red 12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 185 209.7 million 13.9 million Japan, China
Orange 13 07 Aug 2019 00:00 120 204 million 1.2 million Japan, China
Red 14 07 Aug 2019 06:00 231 261.1 million 32.1 million Japan, China
Red 15 07 Aug 2019 12:00 222 285.3 million 33.7 million Japan, China
Red 16 07 Aug 2019 18:00 231 281 million 35.4 million Japan, China
Red 17 08 Aug 2019 00:00 185 291.3 million 43.1 million Japan, China
Red 18 08 Aug 2019 06:00 185 453.6 million 34.4 million Japan, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.1, 131.6
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.5, 131.3
GREEN
3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, 131.4
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, 130.4
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.8, 130.1
GREEN
6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.1, 129.7
GREEN
7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.7, 129.4
GREEN
8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.6, 129
GREEN
9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.8, 129.1
GREEN
10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.1, 129
GREEN
11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.7, 128.5
GREEN
12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.5, 128.2
GREEN
13 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 100000 people no people 20.2, 128.2 Japan
GREEN
14 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million people no people 20.9, 127.7 China
GREEN
15 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 24.5 million people no people 21.6, 127.1 China
GREEN
16 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 24.7 million people no people 22.1, 126.4 China
GREEN
17 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 4 213 25.7 million people 51000 people 22.7, 126 Japan
ORANGE
18 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 151.9 million people 100000 people 23.6, 125.5 Japan
GREEN
18 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 4 231 252.1 million people 54000 people 25, 123.9 Japan
GREEN
18 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 254 million people 8300 people 26.2, 122.6 China
RED
18 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 234.2 million people 3.4 million people 27.2, 121.8 China
ORANGE
18 10 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 249.5 million people 34 million people 28.3, 121.4 China
GREEN
18 11 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 325.2 million people no people 32, 121.2 China
GREEN
18 12 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 255.8 million people no people 34.7, 119.3 China
GREEN
18 13 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 35.7, 118.5 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Japan
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people
Zhejiang China 45.9 million people
Shanghai China 14.7 million people
Jiangsu China 74.3 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 44000 people
Songmen Zhejiang China City -
Chumen Zhejiang China City -
Wenling Zhejiang China City 67000 people
Xinhe Zhejiang China City -
Qingjiang Zhejiang China City -
Zeguo Zhejiang China City -
Dajing Zhejiang China City -
Jiaojiang Zhejiang China City 460000 people
Qiansuo Zhejiang China City -
Taozhu Zhejiang China City -
Huangyan Zhejiang China City 140000 people
Lipu Zhejiang China City -
Huaqiao Zhejiang China City -
Lin-hai Zhejiang China City -
Dahu Zhejiang China City -
Liangtoumen Zhejiang China City -
Lingjing Zhejiang China City -
Ninghai Zhejiang China City 67000 people
Xizhou Zhejiang China City -
Tiantai Zhejiang China City -
Fuxi Zhejiang China City -
Ningbo Zhejiang China City 710000 people
Cicheng Zhejiang China City -
Guancheng Zhejiang China City -
Yuyao Zhejiang China City 110000 people
Kanxi Zhejiang China City -
Jinshanwei Shanghai China City -
Zhapu Zhejiang China City -
Nanqiao Shanghai China City -
Zhujing Shanghai China City -
Songjiang Shanghai China City 100000 people
Sijing Shanghai China City -
Shanghai Shanghai China Major city 9.8 million people
Nanxiang Shanghai China City -
Wusong Shanghai China City -
Luodian Shanghai China City -
Liuhe Shanghai China City -
Taicang Jiangsu China City -
Chongming Jiangsu China City -
Shaxi Jiangsu China City -
Changlezhen Jiangsu China City -
Haimen Jiangsu China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hirara MMY 45 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
9 0
Shimojishima SHI 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Ishigaki ISG 26 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Iriomote Jima 12 0
Hateruma HTR unknown 0
Yonaguni OGN 21 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Luqiaq HYN 9 0
Ningbo (Lishe) NGB 4 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
11 0
Longhua 2 0
Hongqiao SHA 3 Civ. Paved Yes 11100
Southwest Highway Strip 6 0
Jiangwan 6 0
Dachang 8 0
Xingdong 5 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Myako Island Japan
Hirara Japan
Ishigaki Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan
Irionote Island Japan
Kan Men Chiang China
Haimen CNHME China
Ning Hai China
Ningbo CNNGB China
Hangzhou China
Shanghai CNSHA China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sokobaru Sokobaru Sokobarugawa 1992
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996
Human Trib. Jiao Jiang -99
Taihu Trib. Jiao Jiang 1962
Fuxi Dajinxi 1979
Xikou Trib. Jiao Jiang -99
Changtan Huangyanxi 1961
Niutoushan Nixi -99
Qiaoying Trib. Caoe Jiang -99
Hengshan Xian Jiang 1966
Hengxi Yong Jiang 1978
Tingxia Yong Jiang 1985
Jiaokou Fenghua Jiang 1975

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

3.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in San-chia-shih, China. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (774 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 30 of 11 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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