Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

17 May 2021 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.5 m (18 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 17 May 2021 12:00 - 17 May 2021 18:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	3.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	222 km/h	3.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan
2	14 May 2021 12:00	204	54.3 million	4.9 million	India, Pakistan
3	14 May 2021 18:00	204	35.5 million	3.7 million	India, Pakistan
4	15 May 2021 00:00	167	43.5 million	1.4 million	India, Pakistan
5	15 May 2021 06:00	194	69.5 million	7.5 million	India, Pakistan
6	15 May 2021 12:00	194	60.8 million	11.4 million	India, Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	185	190 million	7.3 million	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	185	169 million	5.5 million	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	194	118.9 million	7.9 million	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	185	147.1 million	4.4 million	India
11	16 May 2021 18:00	185	120.1 million	3.9 million	India
12	17 May 2021 00:00	185	129 million	5.5 million	India
13	17 May 2021 06:00	213	144.1 million	5.4 million	India
14	17 May 2021 12:00	185	130 million	7 million	India
15	17 May 2021 18:00	204	135 million	6.2 million	India

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
2	14 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	11.9, 72.2
3	14 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.7 million people	12.1, 72.3
4	15 May 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.5 million people	12.6, 72.4
5	15 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	10.1 million people	13.5, 73.3
6	15 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	10.7 million people	14.4, 72.9
7	15 May 2021 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	13.4 million people	14.6, 72.9
8	16 May 2021 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	20.7 million people	15, 72.9
9	16 May 2021 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	25.4 million people	15.9, 72.8
10	16 May 2021 12:00	Category 3	185	220000 people	52.4 million people	16.8, 72.6
11	16 May 2021 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	40.3 million people	17.8, 72.1
12	17 May 2021 00:00	Category 4	222	5400 people	64 million people	18.5, 71.5
13	17 May 2021 06:00	Category 4	213	1.4 million people	72.6 million people	19.2, 71.3
14	17 May 2021 12:00	Category 3	185	3.9 million people	77.9 million people	20, 71.2
15	17 May 2021 18:00	Category 3	204	4 million people	63.1 million people	20.8, 71.3	India
15	18 May 2021 06:00	Category 1	148	2.2 million people	46.8 million people	22.5, 71.6	India
15	18 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	19.7 million people	24.4, 72.5	India
15	19 May 2021 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	26.2, 73.9	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

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