Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for NALGAE-22 in China, Philippines from 27 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC to 03 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for NALGAE-22

in China, Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NALGAE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	China, Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (28 Oct 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)
Landfall	between 02 Nov 2022 12:00 - 02 Nov 2022 18:00 in China

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 181.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	27 Oct 2022 00:00	139	115.5 million	1.1 million	Philippines
2	27 Oct 2022 06:00	139	140.6 million	8.8 million	Philippines
3	27 Oct 2022 12:00	139	182.8 million	8.4 million	Philippines
4	27 Oct 2022 18:00	130	158.6 million	2.8 million	Philippines
5	28 Oct 2022 00:00	111	120.1 million	No people	Philippines, China
6	28 Oct 2022 06:00	102	124.2 million	No people	Philippines, China
7	28 Oct 2022 12:00	102	174.8 million	No people	Philippines, China
8	28 Oct 2022 18:00	120	178.8 million	No people	Philippines, China
9	29 Oct 2022 00:00	148	82.1 million	No people	Philippines, China
10	29 Oct 2022 06:00	139	97.9 million	No people	Philippines, China
11	29 Oct 2022 12:00	139	117.2 million	No people	Philippines, China
12	29 Oct 2022 18:00	130	116 million	No people	Philippines, China
13	30 Oct 2022 00:00	120	170.4 million	No people	Philippines, China
14	30 Oct 2022 06:00	120	132.7 million	No people	Philippines, China
15	30 Oct 2022 12:00	120	84.2 million	No people	Philippines, China
16	30 Oct 2022 18:00	120	223.6 million	No people	Philippines, China
17	31 Oct 2022 00:00	139	187.8 million	No people	Philippines, China
18	31 Oct 2022 06:00	139	234 million	No people	Philippines, China
19	31 Oct 2022 12:00	130	242.8 million	No people	Philippines, China
20	31 Oct 2022 18:00	130	207.2 million	No people	Philippines, China
21	01 Nov 2022 00:00	130	264.9 million	No people	China, Philippines
22	01 Nov 2022 06:00	120	236.2 million	No people	China, Philippines
23	01 Nov 2022 12:00	111	237.7 million	No people	China, Philippines
24	01 Nov 2022 18:00	102	198.4 million	No people	China, Philippines
25	02 Nov 2022 00:00	93	172.5 million	No people	China, Philippines
26	02 Nov 2022 06:00	83	182 million	No people	China, Philippines
27	02 Nov 2022 12:00	74	181.7 million	No people	China, Philippines
28	02 Nov 2022 18:00	65	181.7 million	No people	China, Philippines
29	03 Nov 2022 00:00	46	181.7 million	No people	China, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	27 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12.6, 130.7
2	27 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.2, 130
3	27 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.1, 130.1
4	27 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	840000 people	12.1, 129.6
5	28 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.4 million people	12.1, 128.4
6	28 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	23.2 million people	12.5, 126.7
7	28 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	64.9 million people	13.1, 125.2
8	28 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	63.5 million people	14.1, 123.6
9	29 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	52.1 million people	13.6, 122.2	Philippines
10	29 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	50 million people	13.9, 121.4	Philippines
11	29 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	47 million people	14.3, 120.8	Philippines
12	29 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	54 million people	15.8, 120.2	Philippines
13	30 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	50.1 million people	16.3, 118.6
14	30 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	46 million people	15.4, 117.2
15	30 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	48.6 million people	15, 117.7
16	30 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	47.3 million people	16.3, 117.3
17	31 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	90.9 million people	16.6, 117
18	31 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	193 million people	17.3, 116.8
19	31 Oct 2022 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	216 million people	18, 116.4
20	31 Oct 2022 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	149.3 million people	18.6, 116.3
21	01 Nov 2022 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	209.1 million people	19.1, 116.1
22	01 Nov 2022 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	174.5 million people	19.2, 115.9
23	01 Nov 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	174.2 million people	19.8, 115.6
24	01 Nov 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	134.8 million people	20.2, 115.4
25	02 Nov 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	105.7 million people	20.5, 115.2
26	02 Nov 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	118.4 million people	20.9, 114.9
27	02 Nov 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	103.1 million people	21.5, 114.8
28	02 Nov 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	79.4 million people	22.1, 113.8	China
29	03 Nov 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.5, 112.9	China
29	03 Nov 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	22.5, 111.9	China
29	04 Nov 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	22, 111.2	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
113.4 million people
59.7 million people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
103 million people
290000 people
5.8 million people
580000 people
1 million people
530000 people
2.2 million people
4.8 million people
3.5 million people
1.8 million people
12 million people
15.8 million people
10.6 million people
5.5 million people
2.6 million people
2.9 million people
250000 people
1200 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.