Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for MANGKHUT-18 in China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar from 07 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC to 12 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGKHUT-18

in China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar

12 Sep 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000152-CHN
Exposed countries	China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar
Exposed population	60.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	287 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (10 Sep 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	259 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	287 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

259 km/h Current Max.

Up to 54.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Sep 2018 00:00	194	210 thousand	160 thousand	Guam
2	07 Sep 2018 06:00	204	210 thousand	160 thousand	Guam
3	07 Sep 2018 12:00	185	210 thousand	160 thousand	Guam
4	07 Sep 2018 18:00	213	210 thousand	160 thousand	Guam
5	08 Sep 2018 00:00	213	210 thousand	160 thousand	Guam
6	08 Sep 2018 06:00	176	210 thousand	170 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
7	08 Sep 2018 12:00	185	210 thousand	100 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
8	08 Sep 2018 18:00	250	210 thousand	10 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
9	09 Sep 2018 00:00	213	210 thousand	140 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
10	09 Sep 2018 06:00	185	3.5 million	40 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam
11	09 Sep 2018 12:00	241	24.9 million	200 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
12	09 Sep 2018 18:00	250	26.1 million	820 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
13	10 Sep 2018 00:00	250	25.7 million	2.2 million	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
14	10 Sep 2018 06:00	250	27 million	750 thousand	Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines
15	10 Sep 2018 12:00	259	65.2 million	210 thousand	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
16	10 Sep 2018 18:00	250	113 million	1.2 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
17	11 Sep 2018 00:00	250	151 million	3.5 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China
18	11 Sep 2018 06:00	250	185.2 million	31.6 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China
19	11 Sep 2018 12:00	250	190.1 million	37 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China
20	11 Sep 2018 18:00	269	207.4 million	43.4 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China
21	12 Sep 2018 00:00	259	217.7 million	54.2 million	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	12.3, 168
2	07 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12.4, 166.7
3	07 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.8, 165.5
4	07 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13, 163.9
5	08 Sep 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.6, 162.3
6	08 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	14.3, 160.8
7	08 Sep 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.8, 159.1
8	08 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.9, 157
9	09 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	15.1, 154.9
10	09 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.3, 152.9
11	09 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	15.1, 150.9
12	09 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	49000 people	14.7, 149.1	Northern Mariana Islands
13	10 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	5400 people	210000 people	14.5, 147.4	Northern Mariana Islands
14	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	140000 people	210000 people	14.3, 145.7	Guam
15	10 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	210000 people	14.1, 144.2	Northern Mariana Islands
16	10 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	170000 people	14, 142.6	Northern Mariana Islands
17	11 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	14, 141.2
18	11 Sep 2018 06:00	Category 4	250	no people	no people	14, 139.7
19	11 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	13.7, 138.6
20	11 Sep 2018 18:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	13.9, 137.3
21	12 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 5	259	no people	no people	13.9, 136.2
21	12 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 5	269	no people	no people	14.2, 133.9
21	13 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 5	269	no people	no people	14.9, 131.3
21	13 Sep 2018 12:00	Category 5	269	no people	2.5 million people	15.7, 128.9	Philippines
21	14 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 5	259	4.9 million people	57.7 million people	16.7, 126.3	Philippines
21	15 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 4	222	3.7 million people	149.7 million people	18.7, 121.1	Philippines
21	16 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 3	194	49.2 million people	157.7 million people	20.7, 115.4	China
21	17 Sep 2018 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	22.3, 109.4	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Guam
Northern Mariana Is.
Philippines
China

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Guam	Guam
Northern Mariana Is.	Northern Mariana Islands
Cagayan Valley	Philippines
Cordillera Administrative Region	Philippines
Ilocos	Philippines
Guangdong	China
Hong Kong	China
Macau	China
Guangxi	China

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hagåtña		Guam	Capital	1000 people
Cabagan	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	25000 people
Tuguegarao	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	110000 people
San Nicolas	Ilocos	Philippines	City	20000 people
Bacarra	Ilocos	Philippines	City	9600 people
Laoag	Ilocos	Philippines	City	100000 people
Central	Hong Kong SAR	Hong Kong (China)	Major city	6.2 million people
Kowloon	Hong Kong SAR	Hong Kong (China)	Major city	2 million people
Sha Tin	Hong Kong SAR	Hong Kong (China)	Major city	-
Tuen Mun	Hong Kong SAR	Hong Kong (China)	City	-
Macau	Macau SAR	Macau (China)	Major city	-
Sanxiang	Guangdong	China	City	-
Zhongshan	Guangdong	China	City	340000 people
Jiangmen	Guangdong	China	City	530000 people
Xincheng	Guangdong	China	City	-
Taicheng	Guangdong	China	City	140000 people
Sanbu	Guangdong	China	City	140000 people
Cangcheng	Guangdong	China	City	-
Sihe	Guangdong	China	City	-
Encheng	Guangdong	China	City	110000 people
Xinxing	Guangdong	China	City	-
Jiangcheng	Guangdong	China	City	-
Chuncheng	Guangdong	China	City	150000 people
Maoming	Guangdong	China	City	470000 people
Meilu	Guangdong	China	City	100000 people
Gaozhou	Guangdong	China	City	160000 people
Huangpo	Guangdong	China	City	-
Dongli	Guangdong	China	City	110000 people
Zhanjiang	Guangdong	China	City	640000 people
Chikan	Guangdong	China	City	-
Leicheng	Guangdong	China	City	-
Rongcheng	Guangxi	China	City	-
Lingcheng	Guangxi	China	City	-
Yulin	Guangxi	China	City	150000 people
Guichen	Guangxi	China	City	-
Lianzhou	Guangxi	China	City	71000 people
Hengzhou	Guangxi	China	City	-
Beihai	Guangxi	China	City	290000 people
Lingcheng	Guangxi	China	City	-
Nanning	Guangxi	China	City	1 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
A.B. Won Pat International	GUM	91				0
Andersen AFB	UAM	191				0
Rota I International	ROP	185	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6000
West Tinian	TIQ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Dynasty		46				0
Palanan		50	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Cauayan	CYZ	61	Civ.	Paved	No	5700
Tuguegarao	TUG	21	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Taggat		5				0
Laoag International	LAO	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7900
Vigan		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3400
Pratas Island		3				0
Sek Kong		15	Priv.	Paved	No	4100
Hong Kong International (Chep Lap Kok)	HKG	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12400
Macau	MFM	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Zhuhai	ZUH	6				0
Shanzhou	SZO	unknown				0
Zhanjiang	ZHA	75				0
Suixi		32				0
Guiping / Menghsu		100				0
Beihai	BHY	25				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Apra Harbor		Guam
Apra (Agana)	GUAPR	Guam
Rota		Northern Mariana Islands
Tinian		Northern Mariana Islands
Palanan		Philippines
Port San Vicente		Philippines
Aparri	PHAPR	Philippines
Abulog		Philippines
Calayan		Philippines
Claveria		Philippines
Port San Esteban		Philippines
Laoag	PHLAO	Philippines
Gan Bay		Philippines
Pandan		Philippines
Salomague		Philippines
Dirique Inlet		Philippines
Pratas Island		China
Lufeng Terminal		China
Lan Shui Terminal		China
Huizhou Terminal	CNHUI	China
Xijiang Terminal		China
Hong Kong	HKHKG	Hong Kong (China)
Chiwan	CNCWN	China
Jiangmen	CNJMN	China
Yangjiang	CNYJI	China
Shuidong	CNSDG	China
Zhanjiang	CNZHA	China
Lei Shou		China
Bei Hai	CNBHY	China
Fangcheng Gang		China

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Dalongdong	Dalongdong He	1959
Donghu	Nalong He	1961
Jinjiang	Tan He	1972
Huangsha	Yanghua Jiang	1960
Renshui	Luoguang Shui	1975
Fucao	Qianpai He	1997
Gaozhou	Dajing He	1959
Hedi	Jiuzhou Jiang	1961
Liuchen	Baisha	1961
Baishi	Baishi He	1960
Hepu	Xiaojiang He	1960
Xiaojiang	Xiaojiang He	1960
Wusijiang	Wusi Jiang	1958
Dakai	Mapai He	1965
Lingdong	Yin Jiang	1963
Hongchaojiang	Hongchao Jiang	1964
Pinglong	Trib. Yu Jiang	n/a
Xijin	Yu Jiang	1964
Tunliu	Trib. Yu Jiang	n/a
Dawangtan	Bachi Jiang	1960
Fengtinghe	Bachi Jiang	1960

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Songsong, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 10 Sep 2018 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (48 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 12 Sep 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Sep 2018 09:00	Songsong	Northern Mariana Islands	0.5
	10 Sep 2018 09:00	Teteto	Northern Mariana Islands	0.5
	10 Sep 2018 08:00	Rota	Northern Mariana Islands	0.5
	10 Sep 2018 08:00	Sinapalo	Northern Mariana Islands	0.5
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Harmon Village	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Oceanview	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Dededo	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	South Acres	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Ipapao	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Potts Junction	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Perez Acres	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Upi	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Gayinero	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Asatdas	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 10:00	Lupog	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Lockwood Terrace	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Camp Bright	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Piti	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Asan	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Hagatna	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Sinajana	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Mongmong	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Yona	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Tamuning	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Barrigada	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Sunharon Roads	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Asbeco	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Adacao	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Agat	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Santa Rita	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Talofofo	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Ylig	Guam	0.2
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Umatac	Guam	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Merizo	Guam	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 11:00	Inarajan	Guam	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Afetna	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Susupi	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Laolao	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Chalan Kanoa	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Aslito	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Saipan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Kagman	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Garapan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Mutcho	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	Tanapag	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1
	10 Sep 2018 06:00	San Roque	Northern Mariana Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.