Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for UESI-20
in New Caledonia, Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone UESI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries New Caledonia, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 55000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 130 280 thousand 170 thousand New Caledonia
Orange 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 130 270 thousand 40 thousand New Caledonia
Orange 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 139 270 thousand 30 thousand New Caledonia
Green 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 148 260 thousand 20 thousand New Caledonia
Green 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 130 80 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 139 40 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 139 1.5 million No people New Caledonia, Australia
Green 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 139 4.3 million No people New Caledonia, Australia
Green 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 148 330 thousand No people New Caledonia, Australia
Green 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 148 40 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 130 230 thousand No people New Caledonia, Australia
Green 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 139 60 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 130 60 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 130 60 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 111 60 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 102 60 thousand No people New Caledonia
Green 17 13 Feb 2020 00:00 102 60 thousand No people New Caledonia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.1, 163.6
GREEN
2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.4, 163.3
GREEN
3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.8, 163.7
GREEN
4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1400 people -16.4, 163.6
GREEN
5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 9600 people -17, 163 New Caledonia
GREEN
6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 4600 people -17.4, 162.5 New Caledonia
GREEN
7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 19000 people -17.6, 162.5 New Caledonia
GREEN
8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 43000 people -18.1, 162.5 New Caledonia
GREEN
9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 64000 people -18.8, 162.6 New Caledonia
GREEN
10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 36000 people -19.6, 162.6 New Caledonia
GREEN
11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 1 130 no people 56000 people -20.5, 162.7 New Caledonia
GREEN
12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 33000 people -21.6, 162.7 New Caledonia
GREEN
13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -22.6, 162.5
GREEN
14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -23.4, 162.2
GREEN
15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -24.4, 161.9
GREEN
16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people -25.9, 161.7
GREEN
17 13 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people -27.7, 161.1
GREEN
17 13 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -30.5, 159.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
New Caledonia

Provinces

Region Province Country
New Caledonia New Caledonia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Lord Howe Island LDH unknown Civ. Paved Yes 2900
Mueo PDC unknown 0
Kone KNQ 7 Civ. Paved No 3200
Houailou / Nesson HLU 3 Civ. Paved No 3200
Koumac KOC 13 Civ. Paved No 3600
Hienghene HNG unknown 0
Touho TOU 3 Civ. Paved No 3600
Poum PUV unknown 0
Belep BMY unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Lord Howe Is AULDH Coral Sea Islands
Nepoui NCNEP New Caledonia
Baie Ugue NCBUG New Caledonia
Babouillat New Caledonia

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Arama, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 11 Feb 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (26 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 13 Feb 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Feb 2020 12:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.3
11 Feb 2020 11:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2020 09:00 Wala New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2020 08:00 Panane New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2020 08:00 Mouane New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2020 10:00 Ono New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2020 10:00 Houone New Caledonia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 12:00 West Ballina Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 Ballina Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 East Ballina Australia  0.1
11 Feb 2020 09:00 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2020 09:00 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 11:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 Evans Head Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 11:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 11:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 Empire Vale Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 Keith Hall Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 North Creek Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 11:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 12:00 Wardell Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Bellara Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Bongaree Australia  0.1
11 Feb 2020 22:00 Ouaco New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Woorim Australia  0.1