Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (14 Oct 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 122 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 110 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen107048
+
Yemen106913 
Other countries135 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 110 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Qishn Yemen  0.5
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
11 Oct 2018 19:00 Kambhat India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 19:00 Kavi India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 19:00 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 19:00 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 07:15 Hasana Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Raida Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 15:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Asarsa India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Harinagar India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:45 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 16:00 Dahej India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Tankari India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Muler India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Bhagva India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Damka India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Olpad India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:30 Hami Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Marero Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Maydh Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Boho Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:30 Kotada India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:15 Qadub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:30 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Jarub Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:00 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:30 Mahuva India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:30 Jalalpur India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Bordi India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Umbargam India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Maroli India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Daman India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Idi Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Halaba Eritrea  0.1

Calculation folder at this link