Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
10 May 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 May 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 393 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 517 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 May 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia86,514 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Timor-Leste293,679
+
Indonesia264,182 
Timor-Leste29,497 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 May 2019 12:00 523 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 00:00 752 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 12:00 791 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 393 90 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Timor-Leste




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 05:30 Wickham Australia  0.3
10 May 2019 05:30 Point Samson Australia  0.3
10 May 2019 05:30 Cossack Australia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 04:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 03:30 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 03:15 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 03:15 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 03:15 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 10:15 Derby Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 08:45 Mardie Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 03:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 05:45 Dampier Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 05:45 Karratha Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 04:15 Kollan I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 02:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 03:15 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
12 May 2019 16:45 Pender Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 04:45 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 05:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 05:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 05:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 The Palms Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Parap Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Darwin Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Bagot Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Berrimah Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 07:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 05:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 05:15 Wedgefield Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:30 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1
12 May 2019 09:00 Leanyer Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 04:15 Longar Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 04:15 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 04:15 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 04:15 Masian Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 03:15 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:45 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 08:45 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:30 Molawe Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:30 Taponggaja Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 03:15 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 03:15 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:30 Libureng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:30 Marek Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:00 Kilbawar Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:00 Waru Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:00 Kufar Indonesia  0.1