Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

31 Oct 2019 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (02 Nov 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	0.4 m	850 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	14,115

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,276
100-250 mm	India, Sri Lanka	576,773	+
	India	349,525
	Sri Lanka	227,248
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	8,634,747	+
	India	7,148,453
	Sri Lanka	1,486,294

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	29 Oct 2019 12:00	666	430 thousand	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 00:00	231	2 thousand	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
3	30 Oct 2019 12:00	333	8 thousand	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	807	580 thousand		-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kambhat	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kavi	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Sarod	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Wadgam	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Ghogha	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Dahej	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Harinagar	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Damka	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Kotada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Mahuva	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Rohisa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Daman	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Udvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Umbargam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Maroli	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Gholvad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Bordi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Delvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Malyan	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Boisar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:15	Palghar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kodinar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Veraval	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Somnath	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Agashi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Vasai	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Shil	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Malad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mumbai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Gorser	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Murud	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Revadanda	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Adodar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Porbandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Bankot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Kelshi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 01:45	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 01:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 01:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 23:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 23:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 23:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 23:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:45	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:45	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:45	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Miyani	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 01:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 01:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 17:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 18:00	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 18:00	Pural	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 13:00	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 12:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Bekal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Madhi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 03:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:30	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:30	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Chervattur	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 01:45	Kundapura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Kumbla	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 10:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Hasik	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Gadechi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Okha	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 10:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Edakkad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Mahe	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:15	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Jodiya	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Payyoli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:15	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Mandvi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Jambura	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Bhadia	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Mundra	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:45	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:15	Berizak	Iran	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Sirik	Iran	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Sika	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Chaughat	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Manattala	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Cochin	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:30	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Hisn Diba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Haffah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:45	Al Fujayrah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:45	Al Qurayyah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:45	Kalba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:45	Khawr Kalba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Kumza	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:30	Ash Shishah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:30	Al Kalban	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:00	Fararah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:30	Quilon	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Limah	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.