Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORBERT-20 Off-shore from 05 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2020 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORBERT-20

Off-shore

09 Oct 2020 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORBERT-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	40 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (09 Oct 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	40 km/h	0.2 m	36 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	101 km/h	0.3 m	481 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	08 Oct 2020 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	08 Oct 2020 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	08 Oct 2020 18:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	09 Oct 2020 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	09 Oct 2020 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	05 Oct 2020 18:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Oct 2020 00:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	06 Oct 2020 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	06 Oct 2020 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	06 Oct 2020 18:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	07 Oct 2020 00:00	376	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	07 Oct 2020 06:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	07 Oct 2020 12:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	07 Oct 2020 18:00	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	08 Oct 2020 00:00	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	08 Oct 2020 06:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	08 Oct 2020 12:00	325	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	08 Oct 2020 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	09 Oct 2020 00:00	268	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	09 Oct 2020 06:00	481	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2020 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Oct 2020 10:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 10:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 09:45	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 11:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 07:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 06:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 07:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 10:30	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 10:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 07:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	09 Oct 2020 07:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.