Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ANDRES-21 Off-shore from 09 May 2021 09:00 UTC to 11 May 2021 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21

Off-shore

10 May 2021 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (11 May 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	19 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	76 km/h	0.3 m	260 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	09 May 2021 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 May 2021 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 May 2021 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	09 May 2021 06:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 May 2021 12:00	211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 May 2021 18:00	222	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 May 2021 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 May 2021 06:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 May 2021 12:00	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 May 2021 18:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 May 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 May 2021 08:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 04:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 04:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	11 May 2021 08:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 10:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 10:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:30	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 05:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	13 May 2021 05:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 09:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	11 May 2021 08:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.