Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (19 Jun 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.8 m 128 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.8 m 381 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico67,649
+
United States52,945 
Mexico14,704 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 112 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico24,407 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico2,848,434
+
United States82,068 
Mexico2,766,366 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador7,611,233
+
United States1,068,299 
Mexico5,551,542 
Guatemala642,342 
Honduras330,496 
El Salvador18,553 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 162 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 200 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 19 Jun 2021 00:00 335 2.9 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in English Lookout, United States. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2021 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jun 2021 04:15 English Lookout United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Ansley United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Bayside Park United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Lakeshore United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Shoreline Park United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Waveland United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Bay St Louis United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Henderson Point United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Pass Christian United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 02:45 Cuevas United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 02:45 White Harbor United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 02:45 Long Beach United States  0.8
19 Jun 2021 02:30 De Lisle United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Gulfport United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Mississippi City United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Handsboro United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Loraine United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Wool Market United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Edgewater Park United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Beauvoir United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Cedar Lake United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Biloxi United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 02:15 D'Iberville United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Saint Martin United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Ocean Springs United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Gulf Hills United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 05:00 Happy Jack United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 05:00 Potash United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 05:00 Hesperides United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 02:15 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 06:00 White Kitchen United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Riolets United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Pearlington United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 06:00 North Side United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Nairn United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Empire United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ostrica United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Hilda United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Gautier United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 05:45 North Shore Beach United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 North Shore United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Chef Menteur United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Eden Isle United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Howze Beach United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Greens Ditch United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Fort Pike United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Lake Catherine United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Sunrise United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Buras United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Neptune United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Boothville United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Duvic United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 West Point United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Breton United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Pascagoula United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Moss Point United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Little Woods United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 South Point United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Martello Castle United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Shell Beach United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Alluvial City United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Yscloskey United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Saint Malo United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 03:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2021 03:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2021 04:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
19 Jun 2021 03:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Hopedale United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Grand Isle United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 01:30 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 01:30 Coden United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Frenier United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ruddock United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 La Branche United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Kenner United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Metairie United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Molino Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Cocodrie United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:45 Madisonville United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:45 Houltonville United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:45 Lewisburg United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 01:30 Nelson United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Delchamps United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Heron Bay United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Alabama Port United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Mon Louis United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 05:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:30 Intracoastal City United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:30 Cypremort Point United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Galveston United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Smith Point United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Fort Travis United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Flake United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Patton United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Caplen United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 High Island United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 West End United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Lakeview United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Chinchuba United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Mandeville United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Sabine United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Weeks United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Louisa United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Mims United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Nadeau United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Texas City United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Virginia Point United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 Freeport United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 Quintana United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 Surfside United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 04:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 03:45 Hitchcock United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:00 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Leeville United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:15 Gulf Park United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Burrwood United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Big Branch United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:15 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 02:30 Matagorda United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:30 Cameron United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:30 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:30 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Lake Terrace United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gentilly Terrace United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Camp Leroy Johnson United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Bayside United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Estes United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Rockport United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:15 Fulton United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 01:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 North Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Doyle United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Portland United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 05:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Gordy United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 South Bend United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Burns United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 06:00 Fivemile Oaks United States  0.1