Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Aug 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 265 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico53 
50-100 mmMexico733,057 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 224 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 561 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Jose Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 10:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Mulege Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
01 Aug 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Loreto Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Ligui Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Liliba Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 10:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 13:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 02:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 14:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 11:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 14:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 14:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 01:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 10:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 17:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 06:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 09:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 17:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 09:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 04:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 17:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 17:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 12:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 12:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 16:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 11:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 11:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 19:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 08:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 10:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 17:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1