Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Aug 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 235 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Aug 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Aug 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Aug 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 04 Aug 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 05 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico141 
50-100 mmMexico179,255 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 224 90 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Aug 2021 00:00 265 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Aug 2021 00:00 280 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 02 Aug 2021 12:00 344 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Aug 2021 00:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Aug 2021 12:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Aug 2021 00:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Aug 2021 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Aug 2021 00:00 461 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2021 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2021 05:15 San Jose Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 05:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:00 Ligui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 04:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 05:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 11:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Cunano Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 00:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 00:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 00:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 05:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 El Tule Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 11:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1