Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KATE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Aug 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 133 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 202 km/h 0.4 m 302 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

202 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Aug 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Aug 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 29 Aug 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Aug 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Aug 2021 12:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 Aug 2021 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 Aug 2021 12:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Aug 2021 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 29 Aug 2021 12:00 199 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Soufriere, St. Lucia. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2021 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2021 22:30 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2021 22:30 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2021 22:30 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2021 22:30 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:45 West End Village Anguilla  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 The Valley Anguilla  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Five Islands Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Jolly Harbour Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Bolans Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Jennings Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Ebenezer Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Runaway Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Creekside Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Dickenson Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Golden Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Saint John's Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 John Hughes Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Boons Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Cedar Grove Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Saint Johnston Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Potters Village Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Osbourn Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Barnes Hill Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Pares Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Betty's Hope Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Newfield Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Willikies Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Half Moon Bay Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Canyon St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Keys St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Charlestown St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Nelson's Spring St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Cotton Ground St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Jessup's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Westbury St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Fig Tree St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Newcastle St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Fountain St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Taylors Pleasure St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Hanley's Road St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Hick's Village St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Zion St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Brink Kiln St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 New River St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:00 Butlers St. Kitts and Nevis  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:00 Windward Side Netherlands Antilles  0.1