Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-22
in Mexico
17 Jul 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (17 Jul 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 0.4 m 193 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.7 m 323 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Jul 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

323 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Jul 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 16 Jul 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Jul 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Jul 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Jul 2022 00:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 17 Jul 2022 06:00 275 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Jul 2022 12:00 293 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
17 Jul 2022 16:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2022 14:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2022 14:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
17 Jul 2022 15:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 13:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 13:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 13:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 13:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 14:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 14:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 14:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 14:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 15:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 14:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Wilmington United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Signal Hill United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Surfside United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Seal Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 San Pedro United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 La Union El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Murucagua Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Capulin Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Zapote Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Gualora Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 El Moray Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Clifton United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 El Puente Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Condega Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Albania Honduras  0.2
17 Jul 2022 16:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
17 Jul 2022 13:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Erendria Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Shepards United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Punta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Faria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Dulah United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Ventura United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Coronado United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Boal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Mission United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Montecito United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Summerland United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Rincon United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Castellammare United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Santa Monica United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Sawtelle United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Alsace United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 El Segundo United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Tangair United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Surf United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Narlon United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Malibu United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Monte Nido United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Roseville United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 San Diego United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Balboa United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Malibu West United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Point Dume United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 El Nido United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 18:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Agra United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Las Flores United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Stuart United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Oceanside United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Carlsbad United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Ponto United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Leucadia United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Encinitas United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Arguello United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Honda United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Sudden United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Jalama United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 Concepcion United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:00 San Augustine United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Solana Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Del Mar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Avalon United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Agua El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:45 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Two Harbors United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Solromar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Sacate United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:30 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:30 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:30 El Tambor Honduras  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Lento United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Capitan United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Sycamore United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Top of the World United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 South Laguna United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 14:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 La Jolla United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Easter Cross United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:15 Sorrento United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 San Clemente United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:15 Naples United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Coromar United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Goleta United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 16:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 15:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Candelaria Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Salinas Grandes Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Puerto Somoza Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 San Jose Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 El Amparo Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 El Transito Nicaragua  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 12:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 17:45 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
17 Jul 2022 13:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1