Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 75 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (06 Dec 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 75 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 77 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 9.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India9,949,837
+
Iran40,572 
Pakistan46,530 
India9,862,735 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 03 Dec 2017 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Dec 2017 00:00 75 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 03 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 06 Dec 2017 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Dec 2017 10:30 Wadgam India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:30 Kambhat India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:30 Kavi India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 10:30 Sarod India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Mumbai India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Asumumbay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Mandve India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Uran India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Trombay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:30 Taloje India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Asarsa India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Harinagar India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Tankari India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 08:15 Bhagva India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 08:15 Olpad India  0.6
06 Dec 2017 09:30 Ghogha India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 08:15 Dahej India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:15 Damka India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Udvada India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Alibag India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Daman India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Maroli India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Umbargam India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Kotada India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 18:15 Dongri India  0.5
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Bordi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Shirgaon India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Palghar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Mahim India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Gholvad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Mahuva India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Malyan India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:30 Tarapur India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:30 Malad India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 04:15 Boisar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:15 Revadanda India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Murud India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 18:45 Anjanwel India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 06:30 Jafarabad India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 13:15 Guhagar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Boria India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Rohisa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 06:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 13:30 Jaigarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 14:00 Mirya India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 14:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 06:00 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 14:15 Purnagad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Kotra Nes India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Karwar India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Belekeri India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Ankola India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Gokarn India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 13:45 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 13:30 Adiura India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Honavar India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Manki India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Mavalli India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Shirali India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Bhatkal India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Vijayadurg India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Kumta India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Vengurla India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Terekhol India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Chopdem India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:30 Anjuna India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Devgarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Pural India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Majali India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Achra India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:45 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Kundapura India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Somnath India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Panaji India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Agacaim India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 09:00 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:15 Pahel Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:15 Laft Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:15 Veraval India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:00 Chorwad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Mulki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Udipi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 04:45 Mangrol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kumbla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Bekal India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 09:00 Shil India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 17:45 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Gorser India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Mangaluru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Chervattur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 09:15 Ratia India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.2
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Adodar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Payyoli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Quilandi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 02:00 Talakkolattur India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Qeshm Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 19:00 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Cannanore India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Edakkad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Dharmadam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Tellicherry India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Mahe India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Badagara India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Bukha Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:45 Beypore India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Tabl Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Khammasi Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Direstan Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Lamba India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Miyani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Madayipara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Madayi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Salagh Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Tanur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Ponnani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Al Khasab Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Chaliyam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Tirurangadi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Devipatam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Muttupettai India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Panalkkulam India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Irumeni India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:45 Pamban India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Turavur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 14:00 Kadikkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Pappinivatti India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:30 Bhogat India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 15:30 Tondi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 16:45 Hormoz Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:15 Madhi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:00 Anaitivu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:00 Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 13:00 Arukarkudah Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Haripad India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 16:30 Rameswaram India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Bandar-e Suza Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Manattala India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Chaughat India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Talikkulam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:00 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:30 Cochin India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 18:45 Dwarka India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Pirappaiyadimadu Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 11:00 Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Kolachel India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Alleppey India  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Kumza Oman  0.1
06 Dec 2017 05:30 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1