Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 71 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (05 Dec 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 71 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 77 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 110 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India105,179
+
Iran40,941 
Pakistan60,299 
India3,939 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 71 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 03 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Mumbai, India. This height is estimated for 05 Dec 2017 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Mumbai India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Asumumbay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Mandve India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Uran India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Trombay India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 22:15 Taloje India  0.6
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Alibag India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Daman India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Udvada India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Shirgaon India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Palghar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Mahim India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:00 Boisar India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 23:00 Maroli India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Nalasopara India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Agashi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:45 Dongri India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:45 Malad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:15 Tarapur India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Gholvad India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Bordi India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 22:00 Umbargam India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 21:30 Malyan India  0.5
05 Dec 2017 20:15 Revadanda India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 20:15 Murud India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Bankot India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:00 Kelshi India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 12:15 Anjanwel India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Boria India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Guhagar India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Damka India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Mirya India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Purangad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Purnagad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Adiura India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Mahuva India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Kotada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Rohisa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Vijayadurg India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:15 Nawabandar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:45 Delvada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Pural India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Devgarh India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:15 Achra India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Vengurla India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Terekhol India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Kodinar India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 06:30 Malvan India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Sutrapada India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 23:30 Lodhwa India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Marmagao India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Panaji India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Agacaim India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Madgaon India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Somnath India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Chorwad India  0.3
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Veraval India  0.3
05 Dec 2017 00:15 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:30 Anjuna India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Belekeri India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Ankola India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:15 Gokarn India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Mavalli India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Shirali India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Honavar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:45 Manki India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Kumta India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 01:30 Karwar India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Chittadi India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 23:45 Mangrol India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 23:45 Shil India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:15 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:45 Wadgam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:45 Kambhat India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:45 Kavi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 12:45 Sarod India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:45 Pahel Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:45 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:45 Laft Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Mahe India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Badagara India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Payyoli India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 02:30 Udipi India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Ghogha India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Gorser India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Talakkolattur India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Kozhikode India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Beypore India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Chaliyam India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Tirurangadi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Dahej India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Harinagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:45 Tankari India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Bhagva India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Olpad India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Ratia India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:15 Mulki India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 09:15 Mangaluru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:30 Quilandi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 06:30 Qeshm Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 06:30 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Cannanore India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Edakkad India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Dharmadam India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:45 Tellicherry India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 15:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Madayipara India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Madayi India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Kannapuram India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Chirakkal India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Valapattanam India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Azhikkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.2
03 Dec 2017 03:15 Kasaragod India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 03:15 Bekal India  0.2
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Adodar India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Chervattur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 09:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:45 Kumbla India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Tanur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.1
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Porbandar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Ponnani India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Bukha Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:45 Pappinivatti India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:45 Cochin India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:15 Turavur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Kadikkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Manattala India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Chavakkad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Guruvayur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Chaughat India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Talikkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Pamban India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:45 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 13:45 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 15:15 Mattancheri India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:00 Rameswaram India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 04:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 04:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 04:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 04:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:45 Haripad India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
05 Dec 2017 06:00 Khammasi Iran  0.1
06 Dec 2017 00:00 Miyani India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 02:00 Alleppey India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 17:15 Tondi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
04 Dec 2017 15:30 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Dec 2017 21:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:15 Al Khasab Oman  0.1