Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Dec 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 102 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 77 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India62,948
+
Iran17,493 
Pakistan13,849 
India31,606 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 102 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Anjanwel, India. This height is estimated for 04 Dec 2017 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2017 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Anjanwel India  0.3
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Bankot India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:15 Kelshi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:45 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Boria India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:30 Mirya India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:30 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 19:30 Purnagad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Vengurla India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Srivardhan India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Purangad India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Adiura India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 10:00 Pahel Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 10:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 10:00 Laft Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Bainduru India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Devgarh India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Pural India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Achra India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Wadgam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kambhat India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kavi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Sarod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Kumta India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Marmagao India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Panaji India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Agacaim India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Madgaon India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 10:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Mumbai India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Mandve India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Uran India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Trombay India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:00 Taloje India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Udipi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 20:45 Murud India  0.2
05 Dec 2017 00:00 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 21:00 Revadanda India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 23:15 Alibag India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Mulki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:15 Qeshm Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:15 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 21:45 Malad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Dongri India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Haripad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Cannanore India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Edakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 01:30 Madayipara India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 01:30 Madayi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 01:30 Kannapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.1
02 Dec 2017 06:30 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 22:15 Agashi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 01:00 Kumbla India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Mahe India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Badagara India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 06:30 Bukha Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Bekal India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 02:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:30 Cochin India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Chervattur India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:45 Pappinivatti India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:30 Pamban India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Beypore India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:30 Palghar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 23:30 Mahim India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Asarsa India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Harinagar India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Tankari India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:00 Turavur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:00 Khammasi Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:00 Direstan Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Uppuveli Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Trincomalee Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 12:45 Foul Point Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 09:15 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:15 Paddiruppu Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:15 Kalmunai Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 15:15 Ambalam Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Dec 2017 11:15 Tanur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Tarapur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Gholvad India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Malyan India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:15 Manattala India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:15 Chavakkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:15 Guruvayur India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:15 Chaughat India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 07:15 Talikkulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 06:45 Salagh Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Boisar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 20:45 Rameswaram India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 03:30 Karunagapalli India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 06:30 Al Khasab Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 08:15 Kadikkad India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 01:45 Ponnani India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 01:45 Veliyangod India  0.1