Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for OCKHI-17
in India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OCKHI-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Dec 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 77 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

77 km/h

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIran, Pakistan, India129,601
+
Iran7,240 
Pakistan62,749 
India59,612 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Iran, Pakistan, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Nov 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Nov 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Dec 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Dec 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Pahel, Iran. This height is estimated for 04 Dec 2017 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Dec 2017 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Pahel Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:30 Laft Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Belekeri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Ankola India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Gokarn India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 09:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Karwar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:30 Kumta India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Majali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:30 Advota India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:30 Chaudi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Marmagao India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Panaji India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Agacaim India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:00 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Vengurla India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:30 Honavar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Manki India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Chopdem India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Dogerdan Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Mavalli India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Shirali India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Devgarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Pural India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Achra India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Malvan India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 07:15 Bainduru India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Purangad India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Vijayadurg India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Adiura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Wadgam India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Kambhat India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Kavi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:45 Sarod India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Boria India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Chittadi India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 06:30 Kundapura India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Purnagad India  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Qeshm Iran  0.2
03 Dec 2017 07:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Mirya India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 10:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:15 Udipi India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Beypore India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Mumbai India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Asumumbay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Mandve India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Uran India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Trombay India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 06:00 Taloje India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Srivardhan India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Bankot India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Kelshi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Mulki India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:15 Tanur India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Madayipara India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Madayi India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Kannapuram India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Chirakkal India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Pappinivatti India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Cochin India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Quilandi India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Tellicherry India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Mahe India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Badagara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 09:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:45 Bukha Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:30 Haripad India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Turavur India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Khammasi Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Salagh Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Tabl Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 12:00 Alibag India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 00:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Kayankulam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Karunagapalli India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Cannanore India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Edakkad India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Kadikkad India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Manattala India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Chaughat India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:15 Ponnani India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 23:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 22:45 Talikkulam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:00 Quilon India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Direstan Iran  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:45 Murud India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Agastiswaram India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Cape Comorin India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:15 Chervattur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:30 Kumbla India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Bekal India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 00:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 08:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 17:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 17:00 Pondicherry India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 17:00 Kalapettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Al Khasab Oman  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 10:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 16:30 Vijayapati India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 16:30 Periathullay India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 16:30 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:45 Payyoli India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 08:15 Revadanda India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 19:00 Alleppey India  0.1
02 Dec 2017 17:45 Hormoz Iran  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Vilinjam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Puvar India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Taingapatam India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:15 Kolachel India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 13:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 15:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 06:00 Bandar-e Suza Iran  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Devipatam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Muttupettai India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Irumeni India  0.1
03 Dec 2017 16:15 Pamban India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 18:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
01 Dec 2017 13:45 Porto Novo India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Mahim India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Nalasopara India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:30 Agashi India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Tarapur India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Shirgaon India  0.1
04 Dec 2017 05:00 Palghar India  0.1