Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KELVIN-18 in Australia from 16 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC to 18 Feb 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18

in Australia

16 Feb 2018 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	67 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (16 Feb 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	67 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	142 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

142 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	124

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	16 Feb 2018 06:00	67	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	16 Feb 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2018 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2018 14:15	Derby	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2018 10:15	Pender	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2018 19:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2018 19:00	Broome	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2018 09:15	Augusta	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 09:15	Milyeannup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 19:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 03:15	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 03:15	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 18:30	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 05:45	Condon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 07:30	Hopetoun	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 07:30	Jerdacuttup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Gunyulgup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Yallingup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Dunsborough	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Quindalup	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 05:30	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 06:00	Pardoo	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 08:45	Gracetown	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Minarup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 11:15	Vasse	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 11:15	Broadwater	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 11:15	Busselton	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 11:15	Wonnerup	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 08:00	Hamelin Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 08:45	Parryville	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 05:30	Wickham	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 05:30	Point Samson	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2018 05:30	Cossack	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Oakdale	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Windy Harbour	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	North Beach	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	North Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Scarborough	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Mosman Park	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Cottesloe	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	East Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Swanbourne	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Claremont	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Spearwood	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Bicton	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Kronkup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Bornholm	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Torbay	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Elleker	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:30	East Lewis I	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Two Rocks	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Yanchep	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:30	Lancelin	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Dalyellup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Bunbury	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 19:00	Picton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 19:00	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 19:00	Australind	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Dirk Hartog	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Denison	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Port Denison	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Dongara	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 08:30	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 08:30	Myalup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 08:30	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Seabird	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Guilderton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Coogee	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Wattleup	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Parap	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:30	Esperance	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:30	Doombup	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 11:00	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 08:45	Denmark	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Albany	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Kalbarri	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Greenough	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 06:00	Mardie	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Rockingham	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 11:45	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 02:15	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 02:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 02:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Safety Bay	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Warnbro	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:30	Illawong	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Masara	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Tioro	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Kembano	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Tampo	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Napabalana	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Bonea	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Koroni	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Lebo	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 10:45	Segintong	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 04:00	Pamandali	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Banyuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Soega	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Gilimanuk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Tjandikesuma	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 12:00	Banjoebiroe	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 08:45	Youngs	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 04:00	Toroboeloe	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:00	Geraldton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:30	Falcon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Carrarang	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 04:00	Lakara	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 04:00	Wansabari	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 07:00	Emu Point	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:30	Cervantes	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Peelhurst	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Karnup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Singleton	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:45	Tinangea	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:15	Green Head	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Gregory	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Lynton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Horrocks	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:15	Tamala	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:45	Jurien	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:15	Leeman	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 09:30	Coolimba	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 10:45	Waggrakine	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2018 11:00	Popes Landing	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 03:30	Eyre	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:30	Roliai	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.