Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KELVIN-18 in Australia from 16 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC to 18 Feb 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18

in Australia

17 Feb 2018 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	88 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (17 Feb 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	88 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	142 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

142 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	643

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Feb 2018 06:00	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2018 12:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2018 18:00	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Feb 2018 00:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2018 06:00	88	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	16 Feb 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Feb 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Feb 2018 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Feb 2018 10:45	Derby	Australia	0.5
	17 Feb 2018 13:30	Thangoo	Australia	0.5
	17 Feb 2018 13:15	Broome	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2018 13:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2018 12:45	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.3
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Pender	Australia	0.3
	17 Feb 2018 07:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.3
	17 Feb 2018 16:30	Esperance	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:30	Doombup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Surutanga	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Bua	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Boesak	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Lura	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Bassiang	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:30	Wonnerup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:30	Ludlow	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:30	Dalyellup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:30	Bunbury	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:45	Vasse	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:45	Broadwater	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 20:45	Busselton	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 10:45	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 10:45	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 14:15	Gunyulgup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 14:15	Yallingup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 14:15	Dunsborough	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 14:15	Quindalup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 11:30	Matarape	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 11:30	Baja	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 10:30	Wickham	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 10:30	Point Samson	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 10:30	Cossack	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	North Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Mosman Park	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Cottesloe	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	East Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Coogee	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Swanbourne	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Claremont	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Spearwood	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Bicton	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Wattleup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Wawalalindu	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Molawe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Tinobu	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Molore	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Taponggaja	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Belalo	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Kokapi	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 18:00	Langadai	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 18:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 18:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 18:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	North Beach	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Scarborough	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Mardie	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:00	Falcon	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 09:15	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 13:15	Lamoeroe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 13:15	Barabbo	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 13:15	Waetuwa	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 13:15	Benteng	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 11:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 07:15	Kalbarri	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:15	Denison	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:15	Port Denison	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:15	Dongara	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Rockingham	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 02:00	Hopetoun	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 02:00	Jerdacuttup	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:30	Safety Bay	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 15:30	Warnbro	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 19:15	Segintong	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Haria	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Saparua	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Latu	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Nolot	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 18:15	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:30	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:30	Popes Landing	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 06:30	Waggrakine	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:00	Mandurah	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:00	Peelhurst	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:00	Singleton	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 16:00	Karnup	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2018 19:45	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2018 14:45	Tamboeloeroeha	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 14:45	Tampara	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 14:45	Ambeua	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Myalup	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Picton	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:30	Australind	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Waeplou	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Djiku Merasa	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Namlea	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 19:00	Kilbawar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 19:00	Waru	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 19:00	Kufar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 13:00	Laboean Mapin	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 13:00	Alas	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 13:00	Pernang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 06:30	Horrocks	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 06:30	Geraldton	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Kamesi	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Batunong	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Loholoho	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Lanipa	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Pakoee	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:45	Pakue	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 11:30	Onslow	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:00	Kronkup	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:00	Bornholm	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:00	Torbay	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 00:00	Elleker	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Parap	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 14:30	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 12:45	Bula	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 12:45	Bolifar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Peuara	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Baringwala	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Pulau Marisa	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Kayan	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Seabird	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:45	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:45	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:45	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Aermata	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Klampis	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Sapulu	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 10:15	Paulohi	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 15:15	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Sokabana	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Ketapang	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Kelapang	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 10:45	Pardoo	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 07:00	Gregory	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 07:00	Lynton	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Tlagabiru	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Banjoeates	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 12:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 09:30	Condon	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 21:45	Manglusi	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 21:45	Watmuri	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Kalipang	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Lemanbang	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:30	Tambakbaja	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:45	Two Rocks	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 13:30	Dirk Hartog	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 01:00	Minarup	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Guilderton	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 19:15	Lelewao	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Remen	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Plosokere	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Djenu	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Ritabel	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Namralan	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Watidal	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Sindjai	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Boku	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 12:15	Libureng	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 22:15	Yanchep	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 03:15	Toranipa	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:15	Tuban	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:15	Semanding	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 08:15	Podang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 16:00	Pagetan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 16:00	Tambakkarangan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 16:00	Tabanio	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 16:00	Bawahalajung	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 07:15	Brondong	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 06:15	Greenough	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:15	Waha	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:15	Tano	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:15	Lagole	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 03:15	Bante	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 18:00	Kualalupak	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 10:45	Tjilalang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 18:15	Padangan-wetan	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 20:15	Hamelin Bay	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 20:15	Augusta	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 21:15	Wera	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 21:15	Pota	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2018 21:15	Pandang	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2018 10:15	Glenroy	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 15:30	Batakam	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2018 15:30	Kandangan	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2018 02:45	Semisir	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2018 02:45	Semaras	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.