Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LESLIE-18
in Portugal

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LESLIE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 129 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (01 Oct 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 129 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 124 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Sep 2018 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2018 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Sep 2018 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Sep 2018 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Sep 2018 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Sep 2018 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2018 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Sep 2018 18:00 128 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Sep 2018 00:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Sep 2018 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Sep 2018 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 26 Sep 2018 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Sep 2018 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Sep 2018 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Sep 2018 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 27 Sep 2018 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Sep 2018 00:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Sep 2018 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Sep 2018 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Sep 2018 18:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Sep 2018 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Sep 2018 06:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 29 Sep 2018 12:00 105 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 29 Sep 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 30 Sep 2018 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 30 Sep 2018 06:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 30 Sep 2018 12:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 30 Sep 2018 18:00 129 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 27 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 25 29 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 26 29 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 27 30 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 28 30 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 29 30 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 30 30 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Dominion, Canada. This height is estimated for 01 Oct 2018 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Dominion Canada  0.5
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Glace Bay Canada  0.5
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Homeville Canada  0.5
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Port Morien Canada  0.5
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Donkin Canada  0.5
03 Oct 2018 12:30 Louisbourg Canada  0.5
03 Oct 2018 12:30 Main-a-Dieu Canada  0.5
02 Oct 2018 02:30 Arichat Canada  0.4
02 Oct 2018 02:30 D'Escousse Canada  0.4
02 Oct 2018 02:30 Petit-de-Grat Canada  0.4
02 Oct 2018 02:30 Saint Peters Canada  0.4
01 Oct 2018 16:00 New Waterford Canada  0.4
01 Oct 2018 04:45 Canso Canada  0.2
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Mira Canada  0.2
01 Oct 2018 16:15 Gabarus Canada  0.2
02 Oct 2018 00:30 L'Ardoise Canada  0.2
02 Oct 2018 00:30 Soldiers Cove Canada  0.2
02 Oct 2018 00:30 Grand River Canada  0.2
02 Oct 2018 00:30 Fourchu Canada  0.2

Calculation folder at this link