Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

09 Aug 2020 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	104 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (09 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	104 km/h	0.7 m	363 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	151 km/h	0.8 m	364 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Mexico	04
Tropical Storm	Mexico	652

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	173	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	351
50-100 mm	Mexico	305

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	286	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	364	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.7
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.4
	09 Aug 2020 19:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 23:30	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 23:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 23:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 23:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 19:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 19:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 23:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 23:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	09 Aug 2020 18:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:15	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:15	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:30	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 20:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 20:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 20:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 23:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 19:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 18:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.