Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

10 Aug 2020 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	119 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (10 Aug 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	119 km/h	0.4 m	183 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	151 km/h	0.8 m	364 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	656

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

364 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	434

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	286	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	266	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2020 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Aug 2020 03:45	Molino	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 03:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 05:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 05:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 03:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 03:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:15	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:45	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Tivoli	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Austwell	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Long Mott	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Seadrift	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Estes	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 04:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.