Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Aug 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 151 km/h 0.3 m 99 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 151 km/h 0.8 m 364 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

364 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Aug 2020 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 06:00 229 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 09 Aug 2020 18:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Aug 2020 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Aug 2020 06:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Aug 2020 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Aug 2020 18:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 11 Aug 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 11 Aug 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Aug 2020 12:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Aug 2020 18:00 100 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Molino Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 18:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 18:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
11 Aug 2020 21:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Apisa Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:15 San Telmo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 18:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Chula Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 21:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2020 23:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 18:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 19:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 19:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 18:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 19:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Austwell United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 18:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Chagues Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 19:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 21:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:45 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:45 Coyote Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Corrales Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:15 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 22:00 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 23:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2020 19:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Aug 2020 00:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1