Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANDRES-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANDRES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 May 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 138 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 54 km/h 0.3 m 433 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 May 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 May 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 May 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico147 
50-100 mmMexico251,449 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 May 2021 12:00 528 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 May 2021 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 May 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 May 2021 18:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
08 May 2021 18:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
08 May 2021 18:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
08 May 2021 18:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 18:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 23:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
08 May 2021 19:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 19:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 17:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 18:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 18:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 May 2021 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1