Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Jun 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 147 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico31,311 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico207,136 
250-500 mmMexico626,226 
100-250 mmMexico2,521,160 
50-100 mmMexico, United States3,840,355
+
Mexico3,759,959 
United States80,396 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 743 3.4 million
- - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nadeau, United States. This height is estimated for 29 Jun 2021 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Nadeau United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Texas City United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Virginia Point United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Galveston United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Fort Travis United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Matagorda United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Chinquapin United States  0.3
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Austwell United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 07:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 19:00 Chola Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 17:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Palacios United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Collegeport United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Simpsonville United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Gregory United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Estes United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Port Aransas United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Rockport United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Fulton United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 North Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Doyle United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Peary Place United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Portland United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 03:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Bayside United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Copano Village United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Mims United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Hitchcock United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 21:45 Ipala Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 11:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 11:45 Lamar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:30 Corrales Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 00:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 16:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 02:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 17:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 17:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 17:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 03:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 03:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 El Martillo United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 Yarborough United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 19:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 19:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 19:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 00:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 20:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 23:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Surfside United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 04:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 15:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 15:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Freeport United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 09:00 Quintana United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 14:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 09:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 23:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 00:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 17:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 11:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 11:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 21:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 12:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1