Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Jun 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico4,858 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Jun 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Jul 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 01 Jul 2021 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 01 Jul 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

750 mm

Up to 36.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico697,446 
100-250 mmMexico, United States35,670,364
+
Mexico35,664,165 
United States6,198 
50-100 mmMexico, United States41,469,399
+
Mexico41,099,078 
United States370,320 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 222 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 156 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 142 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 74 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Jun 2021 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Jul 2021 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 25 01 Jul 2021 06:00 178 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 26 01 Jul 2021 12:00 278 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Mezquite, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Jun 2021 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mUnited States, Mexico6,344
+
United States5,990 
Mexico353 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jun 2021 21:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
29 Jun 2021 21:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Nadeau United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Texas City United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Virginia Point United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Galveston United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
28 Jun 2021 09:15 Fort Travis United States  0.3
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Olivia United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 11:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Indianola United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 09:45 Matagorda United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 09:45 Chinquapin United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 15:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Rockport United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Copano Village United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Fulton United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 12:15 Lamar United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Mims United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Hitchcock United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Chola Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 13:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 22:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 16:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 16:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Austwell United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 15:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 North Beach United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Gardendale United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Doyle United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Peary Place United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Portland United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Gregory United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Ingleside United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 05:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 04:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 00:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 13:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 06:30 Estes United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Corrales Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Ipala Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 20:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 12:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
27 Jun 2021 23:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:45 Palacios United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
26 Jun 2021 07:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 02:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
28 Jun 2021 21:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 06:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 14:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 05:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 06:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 06:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 03:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 08:45 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 06:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 02:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 02:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 15:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 14:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 19:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 19:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 18:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
26 Jun 2021 01:00 La Playa Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 07:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 16:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 06:15 Bayside United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 14:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 14:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 12:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 04:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Freeport United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Quintana United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Surfside United States  0.1
28 Jun 2021 07:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 20:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 20:30 El Americano Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 14:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 22:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Apisa Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 03:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 10:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 02:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
27 Jun 2021 13:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
28 Jun 2021 01:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Mirador Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.1