Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Jun 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 104 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

148 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico27,904 
50-100 mmMexico23,497,160 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 222 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 156 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 142 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 379 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Mezquite, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Jun 2021 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jun 2021 21:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
29 Jun 2021 21:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.3
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Matagorda United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Chinquapin United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 23:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 23:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 23:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Texas City United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Galveston United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 20:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
30 Jun 2021 00:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Point Comfort United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Olivia United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Weedhaven United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Port Alto United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Carancahua United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
29 Jun 2021 18:45 Indianola United States  0.2
30 Jun 2021 02:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Rockport United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Fulton United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:45 Lamar United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 07:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 20:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 00:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 15:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 20:30 El Americano Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 04:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 04:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 09:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 09:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 15:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 10:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 10:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 22:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:00 Palacios United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Simpsonville United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 04:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 04:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 04:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 14:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Austwell United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 North Seadrift United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Long Mott United States  0.1
29 Jun 2021 19:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 01:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 08:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 08:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 23:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 18:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 03:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Mirador Mexico  0.1
29 Jun 2021 21:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 02:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1