Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries China, North Korea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 191 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 191 km/h n.a. 371 mm 1.5
HWRF Overall 223 km/h 3.3 m 1239 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, North Korea177,137
+
China169,959 
North Korea7,177 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 223 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 216 -
- - - - - Japan
ORANGE 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 198 130 thousand
- - China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

1239 mm

Up to 3.9 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina3,791 
100-250 mmChina, North Korea3,909,804
+
China3,873,116 
North Korea36,687 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, North Korea10,357,131
+
China9,383,587 
Russia1,892 
North Korea971,651 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 223 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 275 160 thousand
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 482 -
- - - - - Taiwan
Blue 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 471 1 thousand
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 1088 1.3 million
- China, Taiwan, Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    

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