Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
11 May 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 May 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.6 m 590 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 590 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia7,210,817 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 May 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 May 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 May 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 May 2022 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 May 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 14 10 May 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 15 10 May 2022 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 16 11 May 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 17 11 May 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 May 2022 12:00 65 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

590 mm

Up to 1.8 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia223,636 
100-250 mmIndia1,610,224 
50-100 mmIndia3,004,924 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 128 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 223 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 May 2022 06:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 May 2022 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 May 2022 18:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 May 2022 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 May 2022 06:00 271 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 May 2022 12:00 350 230 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 15 10 May 2022 18:00 112 10 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 16 11 May 2022 00:00 102 -
- - - - - India
Blue 17 11 May 2022 06:00 65 -
- - - - - India
Blue 18 11 May 2022 12:00 265 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia264,841 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, Sri Lanka2,938,963
+
India1,898,857 
Bangladesh363,062 
Myanmar8,797 
Thailand644,727 
Sri Lanka23,519 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 12:00 UTC