Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 May 17:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.6 m 271 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 590 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia253,159 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 May 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 May 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 May 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 May 2022 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 May 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

590 mm

Up to 4.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia35,537 
100-250 mmIndia4,572,817 
50-100 mmIndia4,894,236 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 128 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 223 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 May 2022 06:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 May 2022 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 May 2022 18:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 May 2022 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 May 2022 06:00 385 4.6 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2022 06:00 UTC