Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
28 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (28 Jun 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 313 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.5 m 429 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada3,515
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines2,915 
Barbados18 
Grenada581 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Curaçao, Grenada, Venezuela, Guyana87,864
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines32,820 
Curaçao12,191 
Grenada748 
Venezuela38,584 
Guyana3,519 
50-100 mmSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Suriname1,034,384
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines61,241 
Aruba45 
Curaçao144,222 
Bonaire754 
Grenada100,825 
Venezuela673,521 
Trinidad and Tobago23,956 
Guyana29,529 
Suriname287 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 388 90 thousand
- - - - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Suriname




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 29/06/2022 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29/06/2022 19:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.4
29/06/2022 19:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.4
27/06/2022 18:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.4
27/06/2022 18:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.4
28/06/2022 13:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.3
28/06/2022 12:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.3
28/06/2022 12:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.3
28/06/2022 12:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.3
27/06/2022 18:00 East Berbice-Corentyne, Goldspie Guyana  0.3
27/06/2022 18:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Demerara-Mahaica, Enmore Guyana  0.2
28/06/2022 09:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 10:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.2
29/06/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
28/06/2022 09:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.2
29/06/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
28/06/2022 10:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 10:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 10:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.2
27/06/2022 20:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
27/06/2022 20:00 , Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
29/06/2022 17:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.2
30/06/2022 10:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 21:00 , El Roque Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 03:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.2
30/06/2022 10:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 04:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Amapa, Agua Doce Brazil  0.2
27/06/2022 18:00 Amapa, Euca Brazil  0.2
29/06/2022 05:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
30/06/2022 10:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.2
30/06/2022 10:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 21:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.2
29/06/2022 21:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.2
30/06/2022 10:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.2
30/06/2022 18:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.2
30/06/2022 14:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 12:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Falcon, Azubure Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 12:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 02:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 05:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
30/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Falcon, El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Carreto Panama  0.1
27/06/2022 20:00 Mayaro, Saint Joseph Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
29/06/2022 18:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.1
29/06/2022 18:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Playon Chico Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 , Curacao Newport Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29/06/2022 02:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Colon, El Porvenir Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Colon, Piedra de Galera Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 11:00 Colon, Tubuala Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
28/06/2022 23:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
28/06/2022 04:00 , Saint Margaret Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
30/06/2022 10:00 , Bonaire Kralendijk Netherlands Antilles  0.1
29/06/2022 19:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
28/06/2022 17:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.1
29/06/2022 02:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
30/06/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
29/06/2022 01:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Manzanillo Venezuela  0.1
29/06/2022 18:00 Sucre, Punta Arenas Venezuela  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 12:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
28/06/2022 11:00 Sud, Saint-Jean Haiti  0.1
29/06/2022 19:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Tobago, Belle Garden Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
29/06/2022 03:00 Saint David, Thebaide Grenada  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Tobago, Mount Pleasant Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
29/06/2022 04:00 , Mopion Island Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
29/06/2022 02:00 , Union Island Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
29/06/2022 03:00 , Canouan Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
29/06/2022 14:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
28/06/2022 12:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.1
27/06/2022 18:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
29/06/2022 01:00 , Bequia Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
30/06/2022 14:00 Sud, Les Cayes Haiti  0.1
30/06/2022 10:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
29/06/2022 01:00 Saint George, Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
30/06/2022 15:00 Sud, Laborieux Haiti  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 , Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Christ Church, Gibbons Barbados  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 , Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 , Oistins Barbados  0.1
29/06/2022 03:00 , Mustique St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
30/06/2022 14:00 Sud, Ile a Vache Haiti  0.1
29/06/2022 02:00 Charlotte, Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
29/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
27/06/2022 19:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1