Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for CHABA-22
in China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHABA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (02 Jul 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 1.4 m 212 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 1.5 m 527 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 520 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands524,119
+
Japan5,655 
China486,588 
Hong Kong30,986 
Macao686 
Paracel Islands202 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Jun 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Jul 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Hong Kong, China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 6 01 Jul 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmChina106,360 
250-500 mmChina15,811,554 
100-250 mmChina, Japan, Taiwan, Myanmar, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines73,030,159
+
China66,298,692 
Japan3,125 
Myanmar2,387,180 
Taiwan3,388,197 
Vietnam25 
Hong Kong98,971 
Philippines1,565 
Thailand710,442 
Laos11,216 
Cambodia130,741 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Philippines, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia224,474,769
+
China164,129,261 
Japan1,339,068 
India133,719 
Myanmar24,942,611 
Taiwan13,024,272 
Vietnam4,574,020 
Hong Kong6,954,071 
Macao579,652 
Philippines1,822,179 
Thailand5,107,514 
Laos1,095,097 
Cambodia725,902 
Malaysia1,787 
Indonesia45,610 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Jun 2022 00:00 123 -
- - - - - South Korea, Myanmar, China, Philippines
Blue 2 29 Jun 2022 12:00 209 -
- - - - - South Korea, India, China, Vietnam, Indonesia
Blue 3 30 Jun 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - South Korea, China
Blue 4 30 Jun 2022 12:00 166 -
- - - - - China, India, Thailand, Laos, Paracel Islands, Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 5 01 Jul 2022 00:00 196 -
- - - - - China, Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Paracel Islands, Philippines, Indonesia
Blue 6 01 Jul 2022 12:00 601 88.9 million
- - China, Japan, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Philippines, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC